The form pick of the race with a commanding six-point composite lead and a recent second at this exact condition in a fast 27.70, staying on strongly from bend two. His peak of 88 from open race level is outstanding and the form trajectory shows high-class ability throughout, consistently producing efforts in the sixties and seventies. The trap 2 draw is solid at open race 450m at 23.3% and he shows the early pace to exploit it. The only concern is a fifth two starts back in 28.35, but that was a clear-run effort that might simply have been an off day. The composite gap at Doncaster 450m where five or more points historically says follow the model makes this a confident selection.