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Doncaster 450 standard div2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Pulleen Dasherd 3y 52 | R Short — 19% R131 W25 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | 12 | 0 | 39 (6) | 76 (2) | 68 (4) | 87 (1) | 84 (1) | 73 (2) | 70 (2) | 52 (5) | 60 (3) | 56 (5) | 6 | - | 50 | - | 66 | 27 | 5 | 14/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Heathmill Nidged 2y 3 | P Meek — 15% R80 W12 P37 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 63 | 89 (1) | 32 (5) | 78 (3) | 89 (1) | 59 (5) | 46 (1) | 84 (2) | 36 (3) | 60 (6) | 30 (5) | 41 | 35 | 31 | 50 | 64 | 51 | 3 | 9/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Tiffanyb 2y 25 | S R Parker — 38% R55 W21 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | 86 | 0 | 58 (6) | 66 (4) | 81 (2) | 96 (1) | 42 (5) | 43 (6) | 66 (6) | 45 (3) | 89 (5) | - | 21 | - | 17 | 25 | 66 | 33 | 1 | 15/8 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Daleroad Dasherd 2y 8 | J W Gaskin — 22% R320 W71 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 72 | 62 (1) | 43 (4) | 38 (5) | 40 (4) | 47 (3) | 43 (4) | 40 (5) | 40 (4) | 62 (1) | 48 (3) | 38 | 34 | 30 | 28 | 47 | 52 | 2 | 10/3 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Carrick Cantonad 3y 13 | J A Spolander — 15% R41 W6 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 50 | 74 (2) | 59 (5) | 75 (2) | 55 (6) | 58 (4) | 85 (1) | 57 (4) | 80 (2) | 52 (5) | 56 (4) | 35 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 66 | 37 | 4 | 6/4F | ||
The model's composite rank one by the narrowest of margins — a single point over Heathmill Nidge. Won at B3 last time in a very fast 27.74 when quick away and leading throughout, which is an impressive effort at B3 level. But the step up from B3 to open race is enormous, and his performance average of 47 is the lowest of any serious contender. His form trajectory of 43, 47, 40, 38, 43, 62 shows only his most recent run at a competitive level. The trap 4 draw is below average at 17.1%. Following the composite at Doncaster is the disciplined choice, but with a one-point gap and the grade question, this is a genuinely speculative selection where the model might simply not have enough data to distinguish the top two.
Open-race winner with a strong peak — just one composite point behind the pick and with far better credentials.
Strong draw but six weeks off, poor last run, and no model signal — too many unknowns.
Immense talent but four months off and the worst draw — needs a miracle to reproduce that peak form.
Best trap and a strong second last time — structural live shot who could outrun his composite.
T6 best (27.6%). CompR1 and R2 separated by just 1 point — virtually no model confidence.
T1:24.4% T2:23.3% T3:13.2% T4:17.1% T5:13.9% T6:27.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Pulleen Dasher | 15 | 100 | Closer |
2Heathmill Nidge | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Droopys Tiffany | 50 | 100 | Closer |
4Daleroad Dasher | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Carrick Cantona | 12 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.