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MARK SMITH'S 60th BIRTHDAY STAKES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Pas Dalyd 1y 4 | C Jones — 12% R300 W37 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 50 | 53 (1) | 39 (3) | 31 (1) | 49 (1) | 39 (3) | 33 (4) | 39 (2) | 43 (2) | 43 (2) | 40 (4) | 40 | 26 | 17 | 39 | 42 | 51 | 3 | 9/2 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Romantic Loveb 2y 7 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R576 W107 P325 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 58 | 49 (2) | 46 (3) | 50 (4) | 54 (2) | 47 (4) | 52 (2) | 52 (2) | 43 (4) | 50 (4) | 58 (2) | 36 | 40 | 35 | 33 | 50 | 52 | 1 | 11/10F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Aero Sallyb 1y 7 | R Taberner — 20% R685 W136 P401 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 49 | 51 (1) | 35 (5) | 44 (2) | 34 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 23 | 16 | 31 | 42 | 45 | 4 | 11/4 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Afternoondelightd 1y 14 | C S Fereday — 19% R446 W84 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | - | 30 (1) | 20 (5) | 18 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 23 | - | - | 23 | 38 | 6 | 9/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Winterfield Maryb 4y 25 | C Jones — 12% R300 W37 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 48 | 48 (2) | 31 (5) | 32 (5) | 51 (4) | 50 (3) | 54 (3) | 77 (3) | 44 (5) | 80 (4) | 79 (4) | 32 | 29 | 6 | 21 | 49 | 52 | 2 | 7/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Longacres Creedb 3y 4 | P A Curtin — 17% R287 W48 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 50 | 33 (5) | 46 (2) | 47 (4) | 57 (1) | 51 (1) | 39 (4) | 28 (2) | 28 (2) | 29 (3) | 25 (6) | 31 | 33 | 37 | 34 | 41 | 45 | 5 | 7/1 | ||
The most complete speed-first profile: joint-highest composite (52), second-highest speed (54), field-best bend (58), and best performance (50). A8 form of P2 and P3 at Monmore confirms grade competence, with a P4 at A7 showing she can compete above this level. T2 draws 18.38% — second-best position. Best suitability mean in the field (36/40/33/35 = 36) with balanced scores across all dimensions. The 58 bend from T2 is the decisive advantage: at Monmore 480m where first-bend dynamics matter enormously, she should lead early and dictate the race. The speed deficit to Winterfield Mary (54 vs 56) is offset by the 10-point bend advantage and better draw.
The danger. Fastest in the field but the 10-point bend deficit and poor draw mean she'll be chasing from behind the pick. If the first bend is clean, the speed could carry her.
Rising with momentum but the draw and speed-bend gap to the top two relegate to mid-pack. Needs the step up to not expose limitations.
Best draw in the race but ratings gap to the top pair is too large. The A9 form and low suit scores suggest A8 is a stretch on ability.
Eliminate. D4 sprinter in an A8 standard race from the worst draw. Not competitive.
Honest A8 performer without the speed-first credentials to threaten the top two. Place contender at best.
T3 dominates draw bias at 25.99%. A8 in the mid-grade danger zone with comp R1 at 20%. Speed R1 at 21.05% is more predictive. Two risers and one class dropper create an uncertain grade-level dynamic.
T3:25.99% T2:18.38% T6:16.78% T5:16.6% T1:16.12% T4:14.65%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Pas Daly | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Romantic Love | 62 | 27 | Fader |
3Aero Sally | 45 | 66 | Closer |
4Afternoondelight | — | — | No data |
5Winterfield Mary | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Longacres Creed | 55 | 32 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.