| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Only On Baled 2y 16 | P A Curtin — 16% R312 W50 P172 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 56 | 33 (5) | 48 (2) | 29 (5) | 37 (3) | 52 (1) | 42 (3) | 41 (2) | 35 (3) | 52 (1) | 31 (5) | 31 | 30 | 6 | 31 | 39 | 38 | 3 | 11/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Pas Dalyd 1yN/R 11 | C Jones — 13% R311 W39 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 44 | 34 (4) | 42 (3) | 53 (1) | 39 (3) | 31 (1) | 49 (1) | 39 (3) | 32 (4) | 38 (2) | 43 (2) | 14 | 29 | 6 | 30 | 41 | 43 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Magical Be Luckyd 1y 5 | C S Fereday — 19% R472 W88 P232 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 63 | 49 (3) | 34 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 42 | 43 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Jamb 2y 15 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R341 W47 P173 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 58 | 46 (2) | 35 (4) | 49 (3) | 52 (1) | 46 (2) | 45 (2) | 27 (6) | 53 (2) | 41 (3) | 51 (2) | 37 | 28 | 28 | 43 | 44 | 48 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Winnie Marieb 3y 7 | J B Thompson — 20% R534 W105 P296 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 32 | 48 (3) | 50 (2) | 51 (1) | 40 (5) | 32 (1) | 31 (2) | 35 (3) | 33 (5) | - | - | 43 | 33 | 16 | 37 | 43 | 47 | 5 | 6/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Noduff Deltad 2y 6 | C S Fereday — 19% R472 W88 P232 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 46 | 39 (5) | 43 (3) | 52 (1) | 49 (1) | 37 (4) | 42 (3) | 35 (2) | 46 (2) | 44 (2) | 36 (4) | 39 | 28 | 7 | 35 | 43 | 49 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
A dog of very limited experience — just two outings to date — which makes reliable form analysis difficult. What the data does show is the highest early pace rating in the field and the best first-bend rating among the runners, suggesting natural early speed that could be decisive from the boxes. Drawn in trap 3, which is the dominant box at this trip and grade, winning 25.4% from 291 runs — a structural advantage that the model takes seriously. The two runs to date read 49 and 34, suggesting ability without consistency, and the all-important suitability data is minimal given the limited experience. This is a pace and trap-profile selection backed by the model with genuine uncertainty about how the form will translate into competition at A8 level.
Best form and consistency in the field but worst draw. The model's main danger and a legitimate alternative to the pick if the trap bias does not hold.
Fader from a below-average trap with declining recent form. Hard to recommend above better-placed rivals.
Capable closer with a decent peak but Monmore 480m does not favour the come-from-behind style. Place claims.
Improving form trend is encouraging but Closer from below-average trap makes winning tough. Watch for next time.
Composite leader with decent form but draws in an average trap with a Closer profile on a circuit that does not strongly favour closers. Each-way interest.
Trap 3 is the dominant box at A8 480m, winning 25.4% from 291 runs — significantly above any other trap. Trap 4 is the worst structural draw at 13.9%. Composite R1 wins just 20.2% — middle-grade Monmore is genuinely hard to predict.
T1:15.7% T2:19.6% T3:25.4% T4:13.9% T5:16.9% T6:16.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Only On Bale | 55 | 31 | Fader |
2Pas Daly | 43 | 80 | Closer |
3Magical Be Lucky | 64 | 10 | Fader |
4Swift Jam | 57 | 35 | Fader |
5Winnie Marie | 31 | 97 | Closer |
6Noduff Delta | 45 | 65 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.