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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lady Luckb 2y 10 | G A Griffiths — 22% R167 W36 P77 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 61 | 32 (1) | 47 (1) | 24 (6) | 24 (6) | 24 (6) | 29 (6) | 30 (6) | 25 (2) | 23 (4) | 27 (2) | 44 | 37 | 22 | 28 | 31 | 40 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Winterfield Ninab 1y 6 | C Jones — 13% R311 W39 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 52 | 48 (1) | 40 (2) | 37 (4) | 35 (4) | 45 (2) | 32 (6) | 42 (4) | 52 (1) | 45 (1) | 40 (3) | 23 | 27 | 27 | 39 | 41 | 49 | 2 | 15/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tromora Spiceb 2y 23 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R341 W47 P173 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 40 (2) | 43 (2) | 44 (4) | 24 (3) | 32 (5) | 38 (5) | 31 (1) | 19 (4) | 20 (6) | 23 (4) | 35 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 40 | 45 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Afternoondelightd 1y 12 | C S Fereday — 19% R472 W88 P232 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 0 | 30 (6) | 20 (1) | 18 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | - | - | - | 42 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tullymurry Skiesb 1yN/R 8 | J B Thompson — 20% R534 W105 P296 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 57 | 53 (1) | 48 (1) | 26 (5) | 42 (2) | 39 (4) | 40 (2) | 42 (3) | 33 (5) | 49 (1) | 38 (3) | 31 | 42 | 26 | 49 | 42 | 55 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Betrayld 2y 24 | C D Marston — 14% R469 W67 P218 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 31 | 60 (3) | 36 (2) | 47 (1) | 34 (5) | 38 (3) | 47 (1) | 39 (2) | 20 (6) | 37 (3) | 32 (5) | 25 | 24 | 12 | 36 | 42 | 35 | 5 | 18/1 | - | |
The model's selection on the strength of the best speed rating in the field, the top composite score, and a win last time out at A9 480m — exactly this grade and distance. Form reads 53, 48, 26, 42, 39, 40 from most recent — the 53 last time and 48 two outings back are the standout figures, with a dip to 26 in between that can be set aside as a bad day. A Fader with an early pace rating of 58 who will look to get competitive early before the pace fades. The structural concern is significant: trap 5 is the worst-performing box at A9 480m, winning just 14.0% from 257 runs. The model backs the quality to overcome the draw but this is a genuine structural drag on what would otherwise be a confident selection. If she fires from the boxes and gets early position, she can win despite the unfavourable draw.
Best structural trap with decent pace data and an ability peak that shows she can compete. The main danger to the pick.
Improving form and stepping up on the back of a win — interesting runner but below-average draw and class step make this Tentative at best.
Front Runner in a decent trap with consistent A9 form. Will lead early but the pick may outstride her.
Too little data and poor early form to recommend at A9 grade. Needs more racing experience.
Closer with low speed and different-distance last run. Cannot be relied on at A9 from what the evidence shows.
Trap 1 dominates at 23.9% from 234 runs — the best-performing box at this grade and distance. Trap 5 is the worst at 14.0%. Speed rank 1 wins 24.1% from 503 runs. The pick is drawn in the worst trap despite holding the top speed, composite and form signals.
T1:23.9% T2:16.9% T3:19.8% T4:15.0% T5:14.0% T6:18.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Lady Luck | 54 | 37 | All-Rounder |
2Winterfield Nina | 46 | 68 | Closer |
3Tromora Spice | 55 | 50 | Front Runner |
4Afternoondelight | 0 | — | No data |
5Tullymurry Skies | 58 | 34 | Fader |
6Betrayl | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | 630m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Luck | 0.609 | 0.624 | — |
| 2 | Winterfield Nina | — | 0.619 | — |
| 3 | Tromora Spice | 0.613 | 0.618 | — |
| 4 | Afternoondelight | 0.620 | — | — |
| 6 | Betrayl | — | 0.624 | 0.631 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.