| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Yama Beautyb 2y 4 | C S Fereday — 19% R472 W88 P232 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 48 | 19 (5) | 29 (4) | 22 (6) | 24 (5) | 21 (5) | 25 (4) | 22 (6) | 47 (5) | 22 (1) | - | 21 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 26 | 48 | 1 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bombay Luckyd 4y 23 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R341 W47 P173 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 43 | 27 (4) | 31 (4) | 29 (4) | 31 (3) | 34 (3) | 32 (2) | 31 (4) | 31 (3) | 30 (4) | 27 (5) | 9 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 30 | 40 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tommys Proseccob 2y 36 | C S Fereday — 19% R472 W88 P232 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 53 | 25 (3) | 18 (6) | 26 (5) | 18 (6) | 30 (1) | 27 (2) | 24 (3) | 21 (5) | 26 (2) | 21 (4) | 9 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 4 | 11/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Straight Fired 4y 14 | C S Fereday — 19% R472 W88 P232 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 45 | 30 (3) | 38 (2) | 30 (4) | 26 (4) | 30 (4) | 40 (2) | 33 (3) | 30 (4) | 26 (5) | 32 (5) | 24 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 32 | 46 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Eagles Chanceb 1y 14 | P A Curtin — 16% R312 W50 P172 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 56 | 28 (5) | 21 (6) | 21 (6) | 29 (5) | 18 (4) | 26 (5) | 21 (5) | 18 (6) | 20 (6) | - | 1 | - | - | - | 24 | 30 | 3 | 33/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Burnpark Amberb 3y 6 | J M Walton — 19% R243 W45 P123 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 67 | 62 | 14 (6) | 22 (6) | 28 (4) | 28 (3) | 24 (3) | 36 (6) | 41 (4) | 41 (3) | 52 (3) | - | 20 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 31 | 59 | 2 | 13/8 | - | |
Drawn in the best structural trap at A10 480m, which wins 20.8% from 226 runs — the model's primary reason for selection. An All-Rounder with a speed rating of 54, placing her second in the field. Her most recent run was over 264 metres in D4 grade — a different distance and grade, returning a performance of 19, which is not representative of her ability at 480m. Looking at the more relevant 480-metre runs, she has returned figures around 22-29 which are modest but consistent at A10 level. The selection is based firmly on the structural advantage of trap 1 combined with a forward pace profile. If the structural draw advantage plays out as the data suggests, she has every chance.
The speed advantage is potentially decisive — 13 points above the next best is a huge margin. Main danger to the structural pick. If the 480m form matches the speed rating, she wins. High uncertainty but cannot be ignored.
Consistent but modest performer from a decent trap. Below the standard required to win against these rivals.
Inconsistent form from a moderate trap. Hard to rely on to produce a winning performance.
Best average performance but below-average structural trap and Closer profile. Could run well without winning.
Interesting early pace profile but worst structural trap and no established form at these conditions. Hard to recommend.
Trap 1 is the best structural box at A10 480m, winning 20.8% from 226 runs. Speed rank 1 wins 23.9%. Burnpark Amber (T6) holds speed rank 1 by 13 points but trap 6 wins just 15.6%. The model prefers trap 1 with Yama Beauty as the structural pick.
T1:20.8% T2:19.4% T3:18.7% T4:16.7% T5:15.2% T6:15.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Yama Beauty | 48 | 43 | All-Rounder |
2Bombay Lucky | 38 | 77 | Closer |
3Tommys Prosecco | 52 | 52 | All-Rounder |
4Straight Fire | 41 | 76 | Closer |
5Eagles Chance | 57 | 14 | Fader |
6Burnpark Amber | 59 | 48 | Front Runner |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yama Beauty | 0.632 | 0.634 |
| 2 | Bombay Lucky | — | 0.633 |
| 3 | Tommys Prosecco | 0.616 | 0.631 |
| 4 | Straight Fire | — | 0.631 |
| 5 | Eagles Chance | 0.631 | 0.638 |
| 6 | Burnpark Amber | 0.633 | 0.624 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.