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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Knocknadogue Limb 2y 17 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 18 (4) | 31 (1) | 24 (2) | 18 (4) | 25 (2) | 20 (5) | 42 (3) | 34 (4) | 50 (1) | 47 (1) | 48 | 41 | 31 | 43 | 28 | 43 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Dashgrove Poshb 2y 46 | J M Walton — 20% R244 W49 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 44 | 38 (3) | 38 (5) | 20 (5) | 32 (1) | 21 (5) | 21 (5) | 25 (2) | 28 (2) | 25 (3) | - | 34 | 52 | 20 | 45 | 25 | 43 | 2 | 10/3 | |
| 3 | ▶ Bandanna Beard 1y 25 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 50 | 37 (3) | 47 (1) | 25 (5) | 32 (1) | 19 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | 63 | 44 | 25 | 31 | 26 | 47 | 1 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Vixons Famigilab 1y 8 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 58 | 31 (1) | 20 (5) | 24 (3) | 22 (5) | 26 (3) | 22 (4) | 24 (2) | 19 (5) | 20 (6) | 18 (5) | 40 | 29 | 9 | 20 | 22 | 40 | 3 | 11/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Killimor Canyab 2y 16 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 16 (6) | 19 (5) | 19 (5) | 19 (6) | 23 (3) | 29 (2) | 24 (3) | 20 (5) | 23 (5) | 80 (2) | 16 | 25 | - | 17 | 41 | 43 | 6 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Bits And Bobsd 3y 25 | M J Russell — 14% R179 W25 P91 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 31 (6) | 68 (1) | 59 (1) | 28 (3) | 27 (3) | 30 (3) | 27 (3) | 27 (2) | 23 (4) | 27 (5) | 40 | 35 | 15 | 21 | 25 | 47 | 4 | 10/11F | |
The model's selection, and there are genuine reasons to take seriously — a win last time out over course and distance, a second back and an A-grade win over 480m showing this is no ordinary D4 dog. Trainer Chris Fereday's excellent 26% strike rate is a significant positive. The structural headwind from trap 3 (13.75% from 371 runs — well below average) is acknowledged and cannot be ignored, but the individual trap suitability of 63 tells its own story: this dog has beaten the structural average from this draw before and can do so again.
Consistent form and good suitability scores — the most credible danger to the pick.
Dominant draw and best speed — each-way contender if the draw advantage materialises.
Dominant draw with early pace — a quiet threat from the rail.
Moderate form and average draw — unlikely to trouble the front-runners.
Past ability shown but recent form uninspiring — difficult to rely on.
Trap 3 is structurally dead at D4 264m Monmore — 13.75% from 371 runs. This is the most significant structural signal in this race and works against the pick. Traps 1 and 6 are both dominant. Composite rank 1 wins 23.51% — the model has normal predictive value here.
T1:20.45% T2:18.21% T3:13.75% T4:16.14% T5:18.67% T6:20.65%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.