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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Serenity Sunsetb 3y 13 | P A Curtin — 17% R295 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 32 | 29 (5) | 26 (5) | 32 (5) | 70 (3) | 50 (6) | 40 (2) | 29 (3) | 69 (3) | 66 (3) | 42 (2) | 31 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 10/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Makeit A Breezeb 3y 13 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 78 | 77 | 71 (4) | 71 (5) | 97 (1) | 94 (1) | 93 (1) | 44 (2) | 33 (5) | 29 (5) | 36 (5) | 43 (5) | 27 | 28 | - | 20 | 45 | 61 | 2 | 11/10F | |
| 3 | ▶ Blue Jazzb 3y 17 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R609 W113 P343 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 34 | 40 (4) | 45 (2) | 56 (4) | 71 (3) | 64 (5) | 44 (2) | 68 (3) | 35 (5) | 52 (1) | 63 (5) | 32 | 21 | 20 | - | 47 | 39 | 5 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Has A Squeakb 4y 28 | J M Walton — 20% R244 W49 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 61 | 38 (4) | 92 (1) | 87 (1) | 35 (5) | 55 (6) | 89 (1) | 29 (6) | 86 (1) | 36 (4) | 37 (5) | 46 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 51 | 54 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Droopys Moosed 4y 25 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 2 | 17 (6) | 66 (4) | 72 (2) | 67 (2) | 50 (5) | 73 (5) | 77 (1) | 35 (3) | 60 (6) | 57 (5) | 21 | 17 | 39 | 27 | 55 | 45 | 6 | 14/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Not A Lotb 2y 15 | P A Curtin — 17% R295 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 61 | 36 (3) | 40 (3) | 52 (6) | 33 (5) | 86 (1) | 65 (4) | 30 (4) | 44 (3) | 81 (2) | 84 (1) | 37 | 19 | 37 | 39 | 49 | 48 | 3 | 7/2 | |
The case for Has A Squeak is built around one exceptional run — a dominant win over this exact trip and track, returning a performance score in the mid-80s. The Closer profile is perfectly suited to a 630-metre staying race where the Faders in the field will be looking for somewhere to park themselves after burning their early energy. Trainer J M Walton's 22% strike rate is respectable, and the dog's trap suitability of 46 suggests it has regularly performed well from this draw.
Dominant trap and blazing speed, but the Fader profile at 630m is the fatal weakness.
Proven staying ability but recent form is off the boil.
Not a proven stayer and drawn in the least favourable box.
Fader at a staying trip with no established distance form — hard to support.
Talented but form is well below peak and the near-zero bend rating is a major concern.
Run counts at S4 630m are low (166 total), so individual trap figures should be treated with caution. Using the broader 630m dataset (1,124 runs), trap 2 dominates at 24.02% from 229 runs — the strongest structural signal at this distance. Composite rank 1 wins 27.06% at S4 — the model has good predictive value at this grade and distance.
T1:14.89% T2:27.66% T3:5.00% T4:26.32% T5:21.43% T6:26.32%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 630m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Serenity Sunset | 21 | 65 | Closer |
2Makeit A Breeze | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Blue Jazz | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Has A Squeak | 32 | 68 | Closer |
5Droopys Moose | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Not A Lot | 68 | 35 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.