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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Only On Baled 2y 19 | P A Curtin — 17% R295 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 60 | 48 (2) | 29 (5) | 37 (3) | 52 (1) | 42 (3) | 35 (3) | 52 (1) | 31 (5) | 34 (4) | 30 (6) | 29 | 37 | 38 | 35 | 40 | 42 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Sugar Kingd 1y 13 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 63 | 63 (1) | 53 (1) | 45 (2) | 43 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 39 | 18 | 29 | 43 | 49 | 2 | 4/9F | |
| 3 | ▶ Elderberry Anyab 2yN/R 3 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R318 W45 P163 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 42 | 43 (2) | 45 (2) | 35 (4) | 49 (1) | 33 (4) | 21 (5) | 24 (5) | 30 (4) | 28 (5) | 44 (3) | 27 | 43 | 18 | 22 | 34 | 43 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Blarney Castled 3y 5 | C Jones — 13% R307 W39 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 46 | 35 (5) | 32 (3) | 47 (2) | 35 (4) | 46 (2) | 41 (4) | 47 (3) | 52 (2) | 34 (4) | 43 (4) | 34 | 38 | - | 14 | 40 | 50 | 1 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Aero Superstarb 1y 7 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 42 | 47 (3) | 53 (1) | 52 (1) | 30 (5) | 47 (1) | 33 (4) | 35 (3) | 43 (2) | 43 (2) | 34 (6) | 40 | 36 | - | 31 | 39 | 39 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Bang On Lacieb 3y 37 | N J Hunt — 19% R372 W72 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 44 | 30 (6) | 21 (6) | 88 (1) | 51 (1) | 37 (3) | 28 (5) | 43 (2) | 29 (6) | 46 (2) | 44 (3) | 25 | 33 | 48 | 26 | 42 | 44 | 3 | 14/1 | |
The model's selection here, and she does carry the highest composite score in the field. The difficulty is the form book — this dog has finished fourth in four of her five most recent outings at this grade, consistently promising without delivering. A Closer who can finish close to the pace, she needs the leaders to come back to her, and whether they will at this distance and grade is the question. Distance suitability is notably low, which adds another layer of uncertainty over the full 480 metres.
In form and with the best early pace and bend ability — the most likely alternative winner.
Has the ability to win but recent form at this distance is discouraging.
Inconsistent form and low distance suitability reduce confidence.
Drawn in the best box but the Fader profile limits confidence over 480m.
Sharply out of form and a Fader at a fair 480m circuit — faces a tough task.
Trap 1 holds a mild advantage at A9 480m Monmore, winning 21.56% from 218 runs. Very low composite separation (3.46pp) — this race is essentially a structural coin flip between multiple plausible winners.
T1:21.56% T2:17.18% T3:19.92% T4:15.95% T5:16.60% T6:18.25%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Only On Bale | 60 | 23 | Fader |
2Sugar King | 64 | 10 | Fader |
3Elderberry Anya | 47 | 58 | Closer |
4Blarney Castle | 53 | 60 | Closer |
5Aero Superstar | 24 | 42 | Fader |
6Bang On Lacie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.