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ROMFORD FRIDAY NIGHT 500 MAIDEN STAYERS - HEAT 1
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Letter Cutieb 2y 35 | D K Hurlock — 19% R938 W176 P514 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 38 | 73 (4) | 73 (4) | 76 (4) | 80 (3) | 74 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | 27 | - | - | 63 | 46 | 2 | 14/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Rossa Vitab 2yN/R 24 | S A Saberton — 23% R402 W93 P258 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 53 | 62 (3) | 67 (3) | 92 (1) | 75 (4) | 59 (5) | 89 (1) | 78 (2) | 85 (1) | 79 (1) | 75 (1) | 60 | - | 27 | - | 64 | 62 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Coppice Dakotab 3y 34 | L E Morrison — 23% R189 W43 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 54 (4) | 63 (4) | 93 (1) | 91 (1) | 90 (1) | 77 (2) | 91 (1) | 72 (3) | 49 (5) | 77 (2) | 43 | 40 | 17 | - | 60 | 52 | 5 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Brentfordpenguind 4y 46 | M J Dartnall — 9% R11 W1 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 56 (2) | 62 (5) | 69 (5) | 91 (1) | 71 (2) | 73 (3) | 96 (1) | 75 (3) | 75 (4) | 87 (3) | 45 | 30 | 17 | - | 72 | 57 | 1 | 15/8 | |
| 5 | ▶ Distant Eveb 3y 24 | D Childs — 13% R283 W38 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 1 | 15 | 54 (5) | 73 (2) | 50 (6) | 64 (4) | 59 (4) | 47 (6) | 70 (2) | 76 (2) | 64 (4) | 73 (2) | - | 45 | 23 | - | 60 | 53 | 4 | 3/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Thorpys Legacyd 2y 35 | P W Young — 19% R1333 W247 P780 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 47 | 77 (6) | 76 (4) | 94 (5) | 92 (2) | 89 (2) | 91 | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | - | - | 66 | 43 | 3 | 7/4F | |
The class standout by a wide margin — AP 72 is 6+ clear of the next best (Thorpys Legacy at 66). SP 100, FB 100, EP 100 — the speed model rates him the fastest in every dimension. Trainer M J Dartnall at 30% (strong tier) — the best trainer signal in this field and historically a predictor of 43%+ win rates when they're the field's best trainer. Performance trajectory 78→80→62→64→84 — the 84 latest is extraordinary and the 78, 80 peaks show consistent A-grade ability. Zero CD form at Romford 575m, which is a concern. T4 at 2.7% (37r) is a catastrophic trap — near-zero win rate. Extreme Fader profile at 575m is another red flag. BUT: the 30% trainer has deliberately placed this dog in this race knowing the distance. When a 30% trainer places a dog with AP 72 and 84 latest perf, they believe it can convert. The class gap is so wide (6+ AP points) that even if he fades, the field might not be fast enough to catch him.
DANGER: CS 100 Closer who'll benefit from the Fader carnage. AP 63 is 9 below the leader but at 575m that gap narrows when the Faders die.
DANGER: CS 100 Closer with AP 66 and 77-79 peaks. He'll close past the Faders. SM 5 is a worry but three Faders setting hot pace means closers inherit.
Good draw and Closer profile but worst trainer (12%) and limited CD experience. The 78→73 peaks suggest ability but too unreliable.
Pace-maker who'll fight for the lead and die. Two extreme Faders battling early at 575m = both will collapse.
Third Fader in the pace battle. She'll ensure the fractions are hot and help the closers. No winning chance at 575m with this profile.
T4 is a death trap at 2.7% (37r) — catastrophically bad. T2 best at 19.4%. R1 dominant at 21.5% — the best dog wins more than 1 in 5. Small sample (235 runs) means wide variance. Speed data limited.
T1:18.4%(38r) T2:19.4%(36r) T3:14.3%(42r) T4:2.7%(37r) T5:14.3%(49r) T6:15.2%(33r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 575m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Letter Cutie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Rossa Vita | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Coppice Dakota | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Brentfordpenguin | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Distant Eve | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Thorpys Legacy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.