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The future of racing: PGR TV
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Light Blossomb 3y 6 | R Pattinson — 17% R125 W21 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 21 | 49 | 24 (6) | 56 (3) | 36 (4) | 67 (1) | 60 (1) | 67 (1) | 63 (2) | 49 (4) | 52 (3) | 58 (2) | 30 | 33 | 28 | 19 | 56 | 44 | 5 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Hollyoak Numab 3y 24 | R W Butler — 16% R232 W37 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 42 | 59 (6) | 71 (3) | 57 (1) | 72 (4) | 51 (1) | 54 (3) | 40 (3) | 35 (6) | - | - | 23 | 35 | 23 | 16 | 66 | 48 | 1 | 6/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Shadow Warriord 3y 25 | L B Pearce — 14% R164 W23 P81 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 48 | 66 (4) | 54 (2) | 62 (3) | 50 (2) | 60 (4) | 56 (2) | 56 (4) | 51 (3) | 71 (4) | - | 30 | 35 | 11 | 28 | 59 | 46 | 4 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Headford Tobyd 2y 7 | R Pattinson — 17% R125 W21 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 55 | 46 (5) | 65 (4) | 85 (1) | 68 (2) | 73 (2) | 52 (5) | 63 (3) | 40 (6) | 53 (4) | 50 (5) | - | 49 | - | 37 | 59 | 52 | 2 | 9/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Paxtond 3y 17 | J J Luckhurst — 15% R283 W43 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 73 | 57 | 50 (6) | 50 (5) | 82 (1) | 61 (3) | 60 (5) | 69 (3) | 74 (2) | 58 (4) | 50 (5) | 60 (4) | - | 32 | - | 29 | 58 | 46 | 3 | 11/4 | |
Best performance in the field at 66 and a proven HP winner — 1st from her last five HP starts. Closer profile (CS 62, EP 49, pace consistency 80) is IDEAL at 491m where closers thrive. Form trajectory 62→77→53→56→66→75 shows sharp improving form — 66→75 in the last two runs is the best recent trajectory in this race. That 77-rated HP win proves she can produce elite performance at this exact grade. The race shape with two pace-pressers (Paxton and Toby) sets up perfectly for her closing style. T3 at 18.64% is moderate. Trainer Butler at 14% is weak but at HP level the running style and pace scenario matter more than trainer influence.
DANGER: The class drop is enormous but Fader at 491m is structurally wrong. If his class carries him through, he wins. If the distance exposes his stamina, he fades to mid-pack. High risk, high reward.
DANGER: That 73 speed rating from A-grade is terrifying. If he leads wire-to-wire, nobody catches him. But 491m may expose his stamina limitations and form has been poor recently.
ELIMINATE: Slowest dog from worst trap. No path to victory.
Others: Class drop from A4 helps but 45 last run suggests he's not firing. Would need the form 70 version, not the 45 version.
T5 DOMINANT at 26.15% from 65 runs. T2 dead zone at 12.5%. R1 composite wins 24.54% — model favourites do well here. Smaller sample (358 runs) means less certainty.
T1:vacant, T2:12.5% (56), T3:18.64% (59), T4:20.31% (64), T5:26.15% (65), T6:20.34% (59)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Light Blossom | 48 | 13 | All-Rounder |
3Hollyoak Numa | 49 | 62 | Closer |
4Shadow Warrior | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Headford Toby | 56 | 22 | Fader |
6Swift Paxton | 56 | 51 | Front Runner |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.