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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollyoak Cleob 3y 5 | R W Butler — 16% R232 W37 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 24 (2) | 22 (5) | 28 (3) | 32 (2) | 18 (6) | 26 (4) | 23 (4) | 32 (1) | 29 (2) | 23 (4) | 37 | 38 | 15 | 35 | 56 | 47 | 2 | 10/3 | |
| 2 | ▶ Hollyoak Poppetb 4y 53 | R W Butler — 16% R232 W37 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 42 (4) | 59 (2) | 40 (5) | 31 (1) | 24 (2) | 22 (3) | 30 (1) | 19 (5) | 21 (4) | 20 (5) | 24 | 24 | 16 | 21 | 48 | 37 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Hollyoak Abigailb 3yN/R 24 | R W Butler — 16% R232 W37 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 41 (5) | 33 (5) | 46 (6) | 20 (4) | 23 (4) | 19 (3) | 18 (4) | 28 (6) | 19 (4) | - | 49 | 44 | 30 | 39 | 51 | 49 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fahoura Ladd 5y 15 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 30 (4) | 36 (1) | 29 (3) | 23 (3) | 22 (4) | 19 (6) | 26 (4) | 32 (2) | 28 (4) | 23 (5) | 35 | 32 | 34 | 26 | 56 | 45 | 1 | 7/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballymacode Doveb 3y 25 | D P Brabon — 23% R361 W82 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 12 (6) | 20 (4) | 17 (6) | 20 (5) | 31 (1) | 18 (5) | 14 (6) | 24 (4) | 21 (5) | 17 (6) | 27 | 25 | 29 | 22 | 44 | 36 | 5 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Marinas Bubbled 2y 14 | L B Pearce — 14% R164 W23 P81 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 20 (4) | 23 (4) | 21 (4) | 21 (5) | 28 (2) | 21 (4) | 18 (5) | 23 (4) | 24 (4) | 19 (5) | 27 | 24 | 16 | 24 | 54 | 41 | 3 | 15/8 | |
The 32% trainer signal is the headline — Mavrias at 32% is the strongest trainer in this race and in the 'strong' tier that historically produces elevated win rates. He's dropping from D3 where he ran 6th and 4th — not great, but the class drop means D4 is easier competition. Trial winner with a 74-rated peak performance. Form: 55→50→74→38→54→66 — the 66 last run is a clear bounce back and second-best recent form in the field. Speed 51 is joint-second-best. T4 at 15.42% isn't ideal but the trainer placing him here at D4 after D3 struggles is a deliberate class management move. Suit mean 32 is moderate with class suit 34 showing genuine D4 experience.
DANGER: Best form trajectory in the race (improving for four consecutive runs) but T1 draw at 12.97% is a structural wall. Will be competitive for 2nd/3rd but the trap kills the win chance.
DANGER: EP 100 from a strong trap with the best suitability. If she fires like her 74-rated trial wins, she leads wire-to-wire. If she bombs (38-39 level), she's nowhere. High variance.
ELIMINATE: Finishes 5th every time. Dominant trap completely wasted.
ELIMINATE: One-race wonder. Perf 44 and speed 48 are bottom of every measure.
Others: Best speed from a decent trap but too inconsistent. Will be involved without threatening the win.
T2 dominant at 25.63% but occupied by the weakest runner. T3 strong at 21.20% with the front-runner. T1/T4/T5 all poor draws at 12-15%.
T1:12.97% (185), T2:25.63% (199), T3:21.20% (217), T4:15.42% (201), T5:14.41% (229), T6:20.08% (239)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.