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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollyhill Autumnb 3y 17 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 25 (4) | 26 (3) | 18 (6) | 26 (3) | 17 (6) | 28 (3) | 32 (2) | 25 (3) | 21 (5) | 31 (1) | 40 | 36 | 6 | 36 | 54 | 47 | 3 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Fagans Dreamingd 3y 4 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 23 (4) | 25 (6) | 25 (4) | 25 (5) | 36 (5) | 35 (1) | 25 (1) | 31 (4) | 16 (1) | - | 23 | 36 | 29 | 36 | 58 | 45 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Snodland Sniperb 3y 16 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 32 (1) | 30 (2) | 26 (3) | 21 (6) | 25 (4) | 22 (6) | 31 (1) | 25 (2) | 24 (5) | 21 (6) | 26 | 25 | 19 | 25 | 51 | 40 | 4 | 10/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Lemon Lunab 1y 25 | B D O'sullivan — 18% R544 W99 P302 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 57 (3) | 68 (3) | 71 (2) | 64 (3) | 50 (4) | 57 (4) | 28 (5) | 24 (5) | 36 (1) | 23 (5) | - | 11 | - | 11 | 51 | 33 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Hollyoak Speedyd 2y 25 | R W Butler — 16% R232 W37 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 25 (6) | 36 (2) | 39 (1) | 41 (6) | 26 (1) | 17 (4) | 32 (6) | 30 (2) | 23 (2) | - | 51 | 45 | 20 | 39 | 57 | 52 | 2 | 10/11F | |
Best performance in the field at 58 and the standout of the Mavrias trio. D4 winner with a 72-rated performance — that's 14 points above his average, showing genuine high-end ability. Two consecutive trial 2nds (58 and 70) demonstrate improving form and competitive consistency. Form: 51→72→38→56→58→70 has a 70 last run which is the joint-best recent form in the field alongside Speedy's 77. Mavrias at 32% has THREE entries in this race and has placed Fagans Dreaming here as the best performing of the trio — the trainer knows which dog is his lead contender. D4 winner stepping up to D3 is a natural progression. T3 at 16.49% is average but the flat trap bias at D3 means no significant draw disadvantage.
DANGER: 77 peak form and 59 speed from best-suitability position. When she fires, nothing catches her. But three of her last six runs were 35, 46, 54 — she bombs more often than she fires. High-risk, high-reward danger.
Others: Places regularly but doesn't win. Third-string Mavrias runner. The 43 last run is heading the wrong way.
Others: D4 ability doesn't translate to D3. Best trap is his only positive. Mid to back of pack.
ELIMINATE: Too few runs, worst speed, near-zero suitability. Two D3 5ths suggest she can't compete at this grade.
Very flat trap bias — no dominant box. T4 marginally best at 18.31%. R1 composite only wins 18.95% — low favourite strike rate means upsets are common at D3. High-volume data (1,721 runs).
T1:17.92% (240), T2:vacant, T3:16.49% (279), T4:18.31% (295), T5:15.96% (307), T6:17.21% (337)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.