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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Eire Bulletd 5y 14 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 47 | 37 (5) | 56 (3) | 79 (1) | 53 (5) | 74 (1) | 48 (5) | 39 (6) | 62 (3) | 72 (1) | 41 (5) | 47 | 47 | 61 | 32 | 55 | 50 | 2 | 10/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Honey Cashd 2y 7 | B D O'sullivan — 18% R544 W99 P302 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 43 | 65 (2) | 35 (6) | 56 (4) | 47 (5) | 55 (4) | 59 (3) | 63 (3) | 36 (6) | 79 (1) | 76 (1) | 13 | 32 | - | 23 | 40 | 31 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Pluckanes Belld 2y 17 | B D O'sullivan — 18% R544 W99 P302 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 60 | 29 (6) | 55 (3) | 42 (5) | 47 (4) | 36 (5) | 53 (3) | 49 (4) | 69 (1) | 27 (5) | 31 (3) | 18 | 44 | - | 30 | 29 | 29 | 6 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Podgersd 3y 7 | D P Brabon — 23% R361 W82 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 52 | 56 (4) | 44 (4) | 69 (2) | 47 (4) | 58 (3) | 53 (4) | 75 (1) | 45 (5) | 57 (5) | - | 38 | 41 | 31 | 31 | 56 | 48 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Vegan Warriord 1y 14 | L E Morrison — 23% R198 W45 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 48 | 80 (2) | 60 (5) | 58 (5) | 67 (2) | 86 (1) | 84 (1) | 56 (5) | 80 (1) | 32 (2) | 30 (2) | 54 | 59 | - | 30 | 30 | 39 | 4 | 9/4F | |
| 6 | ▶ Aghaburren Peted 2y 7 | N F Carter — 17% R250 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 48 | 74 (2) | 66 (2) | 70 (2) | 65 (2) | 69 (3) | 75 (2) | 47 (1) | 55 (4) | 72 (3) | - | 50 | 31 | 8 | 27 | 56 | 49 | 3 | 3/1 | |
Everything stacks here. Fastest in the field at a speed of 55 (the top speed dog wins 23.89% at this combo from 339 runs). Performance average of 56 is joint-highest. Trap 4 wins 26.0% from 150 runs — the best trap at Central Park 491m A4. All-Rounder pace (early pace 53, bend 52) means Podgers will be prominent from the off without the Fader risk. Trainer Brabon wins 28.57% at this track and grade combo from 14 runs — a moderate signal. Form of 5th, 4th, 1st, 5th, 1st at A3-A5 shows a dog that can win at this level when things go right. The 5th and 4th in the two most recent runs were at A3 — a higher grade — and his actual A4-A5 form includes two wins. Suitability is solid across the board (trap 38, track 41, class 31). This is a dog with the best speed, joint-best performance, the best trap, a decent trainer, and the right pace profile for a track where first-bend position is everything. That's four independent signals all pointing the same way.
DANGER: Joint-highest performance with best class credentials and a rail draw that helps mitigate the Closer profile. The step down from A3 gives latent ability. If the pace setters fade, Trap 1 picks up the pieces from the inside.
DANGER: Best raw speed by a distance and a good trap, but the Closer profile with early pace of 40 at a first-bend track means he needs the race to fall apart ahead. Genuine threat if it does.
Outclassed on speed and suitability. Slowest dog in the field with class suitability of 0 — would need significant race chaos to feature.
Fastest to the bend but confirmed Fader from the worst trap with the lowest performance in the field. Form is D2 level — the class gap to A4 is significant. Will likely lead early and weaken.
Trial-contaminated form (3 of 6 trials) from D3 level facing A4 — a massive class jump. Cannot be seriously considered.
Trap 4 dominates at 26.0% (150 runs), Trap 6 second at 23.68%. Trap 3 is the dead draw at 15.94%. Top speed and top composite win at identical ~24% rates.
T1:20.99% T2:21.85% T3:15.94% T4:26.00% T5:19.17% T6:23.68%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Eire Bullet | 49 | 56 | Closer |
2Honey Cash | 44 | 66 | Closer |
3Pluckanes Bell | 63 | 0 | Fader |
4Podgers | 53 | 37 | All-Rounder |
5Vegan Warrior | 51 | 44 | All-Rounder |
6Aghaburren Pete | 40 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.