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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Queen Katherineb 1y 25 | D P Brabon — 23% R361 W82 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 51 | 91 (1) | 80 (2) | 76 (3) | 36 (4) | 74 (3) | 86 (2) | 37 (4) | 35 (5) | 47 (1) | 28 (4) | 43 | 55 | 18 | 67 | 36 | 43 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Dapper Ronnied 3y 14 | G L Davidson — 13% R236 W30 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 49 | 39 (2) | 42 (1) | 35 (6) | 61 (5) | 52 (5) | 90 (1) | 71 (4) | 91 (1) | 77 (3) | 90 (1) | 60 | 55 | 40 | 78 | 52 | 57 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Without Justiced 4y 26 | B D O'sullivan — 18% R541 W97 P300 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 33 (3) | 33 (5) | 31 (5) | 46 (1) | 34 (5) | 42 (2) | 40 (2) | 47 (1) | 38 (3) | 37 (3) | 77 | 52 | 47 | 51 | 46 | 54 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Unitedd 3y 25 | D P Brabon — 23% R361 W82 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 90 | 40 (1) | 47 (2) | 40 (1) | 38 (2) | 47 (2) | 34 (1) | 35 (4) | 32 (4) | - | 57 | 43 | 27 | 50 | 37 | 43 | 6 | 2/1F | |
| 5 | ▶ Rocket Roseb 3y 6 | B D O'sullivan — 18% R541 W97 P300 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 38 (3) | 31 (4) | 40 (2) | 74 (4) | 74 (4) | 33 (4) | 47 (1) | 59 (5) | 47 (1) | 48 (1) | 47 | 50 | 46 | 50 | 46 | 47 | 1 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ King Pavarottid 3y 7 | S Mavrias — 17% R242 W42 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 42 (2) | 40 (2) | 44 (2) | 47 (1) | 60 (4) | 70 (3) | 32 (4) | 43 (2) | 67 (5) | 69 (3) | 60 | 52 | 64 | 52 | 61 | 59 | 4 | 5/2 | |
The fastest dog in the field with a speed of 55 — 4 points ahead of the next best. At Central Park 277m D1, the fastest dog wins 23.93% from 656 runs — the strongest single predictor. Performance average of 46 is joint-third-highest. Trap 5 at D1 wins 15.38% from 312 runs — below average, which is the one negative factor. No pace data available. Form at D1 reads 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 3rd, 1st — a win last time out plus consistently competitive results. Trainer O'sullivan at 20% is below average. Suitability is solid (distance 50, track 50, trap 47, class 46) — a well-rounded profile. The condition data is clear: the fastest dog at this combo wins more often than any other single signal, and Rocket Rose leads on speed by 4 points. The trap is below average at 15.38% but the speed advantage is large enough to carry it — there's a 9-point gap between the speed signal (23.93%) and what the composite top-rated wins (21.86%), and speed R1 from a mid-range trap historically still outperforms composite R1 from a good trap.
DANGER: Excellent performance and suitability profile marooned in the 9.85% dead draw. Would be the pick from almost any other box. The class is real but the structural penalty is too severe to pick.
DANGER: Second-fastest speed from a strong trap with consistent D1 form (two wins, four 3rds). Trap suitability of 77 confirms this dog knows the draw. A genuine threat to the pick.
Brabon is a strong trainer signal and distance suitability is high, but the trap draw (13.55%) and below-average speed work against. A place possibility rather than a win.
Good trap and decent speed with Brabon as trainer. But the performance of 37 and inconsistent form put this below the top contenders.
Best performance and best trap but slowest speed by a distance. The performance average is inflated by open-race form. At a speed-first sprint track, being 11 points slower than the pick is too large a deficit to overcome even from the best trap.
Fastest dog wins 23.93% from 1,613 runs. Trap 6 best at 23.58%. Trap 2 dead at 9.85%. Speed is the stronger signal over composite.
T1:13.55% T2:9.85% T3:21.86% T4:22.26% T5:15.38% T6:23.58%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.