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The Slan Abhaile 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lisselton Beautyb 3y 14 | - | - | 45 | - | 26 (6) | 31 (6) | 34 (5) | 55 (3) | 36 (5) | 37 (6) | 51 (3) | 53 (2) | 58 (2) | 52 (4) | 18 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 29 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Blitz Boherd 4y 14 | - | - | 65 | - | 54 (2) | 43 (4) | 48 (4) | 44 (5) | 35 (5) | 61 (3) | 56 (2) | 52 (4) | 53 (4) | 65 (3) | 12 | 23 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 46 | 2 | 1/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Shronedraugh Kidd 5y 33 | - | - | 53 | - | 39 (5) | 37 (5) | 47 (4) | 38 (5) | 45 (3) | 51 (5) | 55 (4) | 51 (4) | 49 (4) | 36 (5) | 14 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 43 | 23 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Skips Profitb 3y 33 | - | - | 39 | - | 28 (6) | 32 (5) | 55 (2) | 39 (5) | 44 (5) | 40 (6) | 39 (6) | 35 (6) | 32 (6) | 43 (6) | 11 | 9 | 17 | 11 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Thisisformagb 3y 23 | - | - | 49 | - | 32 (5) | 40 (6) | 42 (5) | 48 (6) | 51 (5) | 54 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | - | 2 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Knocknaboul Bellb 4y 13 | - | - | 57 | - | 57 (2) | 53 (2) | 44 (5) | 38 (6) | 43 (5) | 57 (2) | 44 (5) | 65 (1) | 54 (5) | 53 (3) | 24 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 50 | 47 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
Two consecutive second-place finishes at A7 grade — the most recent in mid-June and the one before that in late May. Both runs were competitive, with performance ratings of 57 and 46. This dog has been placing at a harder grade than tonight's A8 and is the second-strongest form runner in the race on current evidence. Speed rating of 57 is the second highest in the field behind the pick. Trap 6 carries 15 percent of A8 525m winners at Tralee — a moderate draw that does not help or hinder significantly. Knocknaboul Bell is the main threat to the selection and could well win if Blitz Boher's unfavourable draw causes early difficulties.
Pick on top speed rating and strongest recent form in the field. Recently placed at harder A7 grade. Trap 2 structural disadvantage is the key risk — joint-weakest draw position for this grade and distance at Tralee.
Massive structural trap advantage but out of form — two consecutive last-place finishes. Cannot be recommended on current evidence despite the best draw in the race.
Long lay-off of four months makes form unreliable. Previous ability noted but cannot be recommended until a return run shows current fitness.
Poor recent form with multiple last-place finishes. Nothing to recommend analytically.
Long lay-off combined with poor previous form and worst structural draw. Cannot be recommended.
Trap 1 dominates at 31 percent of A8 525m winners at Tralee from 242 runs — the strongest structural trap bias at any grade tonight. However Lisselton Beauty in trap 1 has finished last in two consecutive A8 races. Blitz Boher in trap 2 has the top speed rating and just ran second at A7 grade — the strongest current form in the field. Knocknaboul Bell in trap 6 has also run consecutive seconds at A7 level.
T1:31% T2:12% T3:15% T4:13% T5:10% T6:15%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.