Kingdom Stadium Novice Stakes Semi-Final
Model does not predict this race
Novice/Open (ON) grade races at Irish tracks are not predicted — insufficient model signal for this grade format
This race is excluded from all accuracy and results tracking.
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Camp Seanied 1y 2 | James O'Regan — 27% R15 W4 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 69 | - | 56 (2) | 65 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20 | 51 | - | 50 | 60 | 47 | 2 | 4/5 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Saleen Hazelb 1y 1 | Patrick O'Connor — 19% R21 W4 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 70 | - | 64 (1) | 55 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 32 | 61 | - | 62 | 60 | 55 | 1 | 5/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Millridge Tinyb 1y 11 | - | - | 49 | - | 42 (4) | 45 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 43 | 15 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Gentle Carolineb 1y 21 | - | - | 41 | - | 48 (4) | 42 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 45 | 16 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Millridge Samd 1y 11 | - | - | 43 | - | 45 (4) | 39 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 42 | 15 | 5 | 6/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kilgulbin Darrenb 1y 11 | - | - | 51 | - | 48 (3) | 45 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | 14 | - | 13 | 47 | 25 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
Two starts in open novice company have produced a win and a second place — exactly matching Camp Seanie's record — but the quality of the performances edges Saleen Hazel ahead. Most recently won from trap 1 with a performance rating of 64, the highest single-race score in this entire field. Before that, ran second from trap 4 with a rating of 55, showing clear improvement race by race. The speed rating of 70 is the highest in the field, marginally ahead of Camp Seanie at 69. Trap 2 is historically the best-performing box at Tralee 525m at around 17 percent of graded winners, giving her a modest structural advantage over her main rival who is drawn in trap 1. While the trainer carry a below-average win rate of 17 percent, the form credentials here speak for themselves — improving winner with the top speed rating and best draw.
Danger on trainer signal and competitive form. O'Regan's 36 percent record is a serious angle and this dog has won at this level already.
Below the class of the top two. No case for picking or strongly opposing.
Below-average speed and weakest draw. No case for selection.
Uncompetitive at pace. No case for selection.
Best of the chasing pack. Could place if the top pair have any issues but unlikely to beat them on current evidence.
Saleen Hazel won most recently from trap 1 with a performance rating of 64, the highest single-race score in this field. Camp Seanie is trained by James O'Regan who has a 36 percent win rate — a top trainer signal. Two-horse race between these at the head of the market.
T1:13% T2:17% T3:13% T4:12% T5:13% T6:15% (A4 525m proxy — ON3 specific unavailable)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.