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RCETS Traceability Novice Stakes Round 1 Heat 1
Model does not predict this race
Novice/Open (ON) grade races at Irish tracks are not predicted — insufficient model signal for this grade format
This race is excluded from all accuracy and results tracking.
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Solid Serenityb 1y | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20 | 18 | - | 18 | - | 12 | 1 | 1/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Stormy Hooligand 2y 2 | Jack Kennelly — 33% R18 W6 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 2 | 6/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Devon Mistb 1y | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Turnedoutfineb 1y | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballydoyle Jackd 2y 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Carmac Susieb 1y 1 | Timmy Carmody — 40% R5 W2 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | 30 | - | 30 | - | 20 | 6 | 6/4 | - | |
An April 2024 dog by Tommy Shelby out of Bonito Fox, trained by Jack Kennelly — the most meaningful piece of positive information in this entire race. Kennelly carries a 38% win rate from 13 recent runners at this track, which is a genuinely strong record. Trap 2 is also the best-performing box at Tralee 525m in graded races, winning around 17% of contests historically. In a field of six complete unknowns, the combination of the strongest trainer signal and the best-performing draw makes Stormy Hooligan the most defensible selection, even if the honest answer is that nobody knows what any of these dogs will do tonight.
Danger on trainer signal. Carmody 25% win rate is the second-strongest trainer credential in this debutant field.
Unproven debutant with no trainer signal. Impossible to assess with confidence.
No differentiation possible. Unproven debutant with no trainer signal.
No useful angle available. Unproven debutant in a wide-open novice field.
No useful angle available. Unproven debutant.
All six runners are making their competitive debut. No performance data exists for any dog. Jack Kennelly trains trap 2 and carries a 38% win rate from 13 recent runners — the strongest trainer signal in this field by a clear margin.
T1:13% T2:17% T3:13% T4:12% T5:13% T6:15% (A4 525m proxy data — ON2 specific data unavailable)
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.