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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Coolavanny Nancyb 3y 19 | J J Heath — 21% R377 W81 P238 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 40 | 56 (4) | 65 (1) | 58 (2) | 84 (2) | 52 (2) | 57 (3) | 82 (2) | 48 (3) | 86 (3) | 75 (1) | 39 | 53 | 37 | 36 | 59 | 53 | 1 | 7/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Millers Gemd 2y 4 | P M Donovan — 18% R130 W23 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 43 | 53 (5) | 65 (2) | 69 (3) | 59 (4) | 63 (2) | 73 (1) | 68 (1) | 51 (2) | 43 (6) | 31 (4) | 8 | 42 | - | 37 | 56 | 47 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Waste House Tond 1y 5 | B S Green — 20% R420 W83 P246 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 63 (4) | 76 (3) | 61 (1) | 52 (3) | 57 (4) | 50 (4) | 51 (5) | 53 (3) | 63 (4) | - | 41 | 46 | 10 | 34 | 60 | 53 | 3 | 2/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Kates Bartd 3y 6 | R J Holloway — 20% R302 W61 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 60 | 49 (4) | 46 (4) | 65 (1) | 37 (6) | 51 (4) | 57 (3) | 48 (4) | 69 (1) | 59 (5) | 57 (4) | 43 | 31 | 28 | 29 | 54 | 47 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Annadown Belleb 3y 16 | A Herbert — 15% R67 W10 P35 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 44 (4) | 54 (4) | 61 (1) | 51 (2) | 52 (2) | 49 (3) | 56 (2) | 62 (1) | 53 (2) | 46 (5) | 32 | 35 | 25 | 36 | 58 | 50 | 2 | 8/1 | |
The field's speed leader at 55 — four points clear of the nearest rival and the single strongest predictor at middle grades where speed-first picking is mandatory. Draws the best trap (T1: 22.17%) and brings a class drop from A5 and OR3 racing — genuine higher-grade form that adds substance to the numbers. Course and distance record is strong: 2 wins and 4 places from 9 Hove 500m starts. The Closer profile with closing speed 100 is perfectly configured for this race — with two Faders (Waste House Ton and Kates Bart) likely to dispute the early pace, the race will come back to the closers through bends 3 and 4. Track suitability of 53 is the field's highest, confirming genuine Hove aptitude. The one concern is early pace of 0 meaning a rearward first-bend position, but T1's rail advantage saves ground through every turn and the closing speed will be deployed on Hove's bumpy home straight where Faders weaken. The stacking of Speed R1 + best trap + class drop + C&D form + ideal pace profile makes this the clear pick.
Best C&D winner in the field with identical pace profile to pick — the clear danger
Trial contamination, lowest speed, terrible trap suitability — faces a tough ask
Perf R1 but Fader profile, poor draw, and 0/7 C&D wins suggest a place at best
Structural elimination from T5 combined with Fader/cs0 profile — hard to see winning
Speed R1 (24.12%) outperforms composite at A6. T5 catastrophic at 12.5%. Five-runner field favours inside.
T1:22.17% T2:21.05% T3:20.95% T4:15.98% T5:12.5% T6:19.49%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Coolavanny Nancy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Millers Gem | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Waste House Ton | 58 | 29 | Fader |
5Kates Bart | 65 | 0 | Fader |
6Annadown Belle | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.