| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Im Justa Freebieb 4y 37 | C Gardiner — 22% R360 W79 P197 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 47 | 43 (3) | 50 (3) | 31 (6) | 51 (5) | 37 (2) | 42 (5) | 36 (5) | 41 (6) | 55 (6) | - | 39 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 31 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Punk Rock Thiefd 4y 26 | S Maplesden — 18% R280 W50 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 43 | 45 (5) | 46 (4) | 53 (2) | 61 (1) | 48 (2) | 51 (2) | 57 (3) | 46 (1) | 50 (2) | - | 30 | 31 | 33 | 42 | 50 | 46 | 3 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Triple Upgradeb 2yN/R 33 | A Herbert — 15% R61 W9 P32 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 34 | 75 (5) | 81 (4) | 72 (4) | 56 (1) | 51 (2) | 57 (3) | 50 (3) | 42 (5) | - | - | 3 | 28 | 18 | 41 | 69 | 43 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Caramels Creamb 4y 26 | A J Taylor — 13% R334 W43 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 56 | 55 (2) | 39 (5) | 59 (1) | 42 (5) | 31 (5) | 58 (4) | 51 (2) | 40 (3) | 61 (4) | - | 31 | 29 | 20 | 28 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 6/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Punkrockrhapsodyb 3y 8 | S Maplesden — 18% R280 W50 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 57 | 56 (2) | 54 (3) | 68 (1) | 62 (1) | 57 (1) | 46 (1) | 31 (5) | 39 (2) | 40 (2) | 37 (2) | 43 | 38 | 42 | 58 | 53 | 52 | 2 | 11/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Rapido Willowb 4y 27 | A J Taylor — 13% R334 W43 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 61 | 41 (6) | 60 (1) | 44 (4) | 45 (3) | 57 (2) | 42 (5) | 28 (6) | 41 (6) | 42 (5) | 65 (2) | 28 | 30 | 19 | 24 | 47 | 41 | 4 | 4/1 | |
The most unusual runner on today's entire card. Her performance average of 69 sits 16 to 26 points above every other dog in this A7 field — the kind of gap that is extremely rare and suggests she is running far above the grade in terms of underlying ability. The context is important: she has been competing at marathon distances of 695 metres in open-grade company, where she most recently ran a P75 having posted a P81 the run before. Those are the performances of a dog who would ordinarily be running in much stronger company at 500 metres. As a pure Closer with maximum closing speed, the 500-metre Hove gallop — where the long home straight rewards the late runner — suits her running style precisely. The caution is justified because the distance conversion from 695m to 500m is a significant change: the race unfolds very differently at 500m, and a dog built for the patient marathon pace needs to adjust. The first-bend rating of 34 is low and suggests she may lose ground early. But if the class advantage is what the numbers say it is, she can afford to be three lengths off the pace entering the home straight and still win. Tentative is the honest rating given the unknowns — but there is more substance here than the draw and grade suggest at first glance.
Speed rank 1 and recent second at this grade. Worst draw and Fader profile at 500m are the penalties. A real danger who could lead all the way.
Best draw but worst speed by a wide margin. Draw advantage overwhelmed by performance deficiency.
Decent Closer profile and average, but declining form trend. Others preferred.
Most consistent A7 Hove 500m performer in the field but consistently second. No decisive edge to elevate her above the selection.
Fader with worst closing speed — dropped from A6 after poor run. Hard to back despite the draw and bend.
T1 and T6 co-lead structurally (21.9%/21.7%). Speed rank 1 at 24.4% is the primary signal. Composite rank unusually weak at A7 — form and speed are the discriminators.
T1:21.9%(192r) T2:20.6%(247r) T3:19.5%(215r) T4:16.5%(194r) T5:18.7%(150r) T6:21.7%(166r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Im Justa Freebie | 45 | 60 | Closer |
2Punk Rock Thief | 45 | 88 | Closer |
3Triple Upgrade | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Caramels Cream | 57 | 34 | Fader |
5Punkrockrhapsody | 55 | 40 | Fader |
6Rapido Willow | 59 | 9 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.