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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Westwood Rhysd 2y 5 | P M Donovan — 17% R133 W23 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 40 (1) | 36 (2) | 36 (1) | 30 (4) | 27 (6) | 38 (2) | 27 (5) | 69 (1) | 44 (5) | - | 68 | 39 | 16 | 50 | 34 | 39 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Sevenofdiamondsd 3y 12 | P M Donovan — 17% R133 W23 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 38 (2) | 33 (3) | 28 (5) | 27 (5) | 32 (4) | 75 (4) | 48 (1) | 77 (3) | 83 (2) | 74 (3) | 51 | 37 | 34 | 13 | 44 | 39 | 4 | 2/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Bound By Beliefd 2y 36 | S A Cahill — 19% R377 W73 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 59 | 27 (5) | 75 (3) | 65 (4) | 94 (1) | 64 (4) | 67 (1) | 68 (1) | 51 (2) | - | - | 2 | 18 | - | 16 | 62 | 40 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Mob Morettid 2y 15 | B S Green — 21% R418 W88 P250 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 41 | 36 (3) | 40 (3) | 34 (4) | 25 (5) | 100 (1) | 40 (3) | 45 (1) | 39 (2) | 34 (3) | 60 (4) | 24 | 20 | 15 | 22 | 43 | 35 | 1 | 15/8F | |
| 5 | ▶ Elite Libertyd 2y 9 | M J Richards — 16% R166 W27 P89 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 46 (1) | 41 (1) | 39 (3) | 36 (2) | 37 (3) | 32 (5) | 41 (4) | 34 (1) | 36 (3) | - | 37 | 36 | 16 | 46 | 39 | 40 | 2 | 11/4 | |
The case here is built on three independent pillars that all reinforce the same conclusion. First, the draw: trap 5 at D1 on this trip produces 29.6% of winners — the dominant position in today's active field, elevated further by the non-runner vacating trap 6 (which would otherwise be the best draw at 30.4%). Second, the clock: a speed figure of 59 is the highest in the field by a clear margin. In the grade-specific data for 285m D1, speed rank 1 wins 29.4% — the strongest predictive signal available. Elite Liberty holds that rank here. Third, the form: she won a D1 at this track just last week, her best run of a steadily improving sequence (P32→P37→P36→P39→P41→P46, improving in each direction). Trainer Hughes runs at 18%. There is no single devastating negative — the average of 39 reflects earlier in the season before this improving run. A well-supported selection at this grade.
Won last week at D2, improving form, high trap affinity. Grade step-up is the question. Danger.
Grade-proven but poor draw and weakest distance affinity. Hard to support.
Best historical average but terrible recent form and poorest course affinity. Form reversal required.
Decent speed but worst draw and poor course affinity. Hard to back from trap 4 here.
T6 NR today elevates T5 to dominant draw (29.6%). Speed rank 1 wins 29.4% at D1 — top signal. T4 and T2 are structural dead draws (11%).
T1:17.7%(79r) T2:11.8%(85r) T3:26.4%(87r) T4:11.0%(82r) T5:29.6%(71r) T6:30.4%(79r, NR today)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 285m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 285m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (285m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 285m | 400m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westwood Rhys | 0.609 | 0.591 | — | 0.570 |
| 2 | Sevenofdiamonds | 0.597 | 0.592 | — | — |
| 3 | Bound By Belief | — | 0.595 | 0.613 | 0.553 |
| 4 | Mob Moretti | — | 0.587 | 0.618 | — |
| 5 | Elite Liberty | — | 0.584 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.