| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Punk Rock Harleyb 4y 34 | S Maplesden — 18% R280 W50 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 50 | 56 (2) | 48 (5) | 59 (3) | 72 (1) | 62 (2) | 39 (5) | 71 (1) | 49 (3) | 52 (4) | 65 (2) | 39 | 34 | 40 | 38 | 57 | 46 | 2 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballyborna Ladd 2y 16 | S A Cahill — 19% R377 W73 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 55 | 28 (3) | 34 (3) | 28 (4) | 58 (4) | 60 (4) | 39 (5) | 62 (2) | 61 (4) | 44 (5) | 49 (5) | 7 | 7 | - | 9 | 42 | 32 | 3 | 13/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Pocket Darceyb 3y 25 | S A Cahill — 19% R377 W73 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 66 | 54 (3) | 68 (1) | 52 (3) | 61 (2) | 53 (5) | 68 (2) | 28 (5) | 76 (2) | 45 (4) | 89 (1) | 50 | 51 | 27 | 43 | 58 | 37 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Montalto Runnerb 2y 24 | M J Richards — 16% R166 W27 P89 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 46 | 48 (5) | 67 (1) | 49 (4) | 52 (4) | 50 (4) | 47 (5) | 46 (4) | 58 (4) | 51 (5) | 27 (5) | 38 | 9 | - | 21 | 51 | 36 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Keeperhill Duked 3y 6 | M J Richards — 16% R166 W27 P89 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 47 (5) | 53 (2) | 62 (5) | 78 (2) | 51 (4) | 66 (4) | 52 (5) | 45 (5) | 55 (5) | 56 (5) | 22 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 57 | 43 | 4 | 4/1 | |
The data convergence here is difficult to ignore. Speed figure of 55 is the highest in the field — and at A5 the speed rank 1 runner wins 25.1% of races, the most reliable single indicator in the grade. Bend rating of 66 is also the highest in the field — she clears the opening turn more efficiently than any other runner here. The trap 3 draw at A5 is the dominant structural position at 23.4%, marginally ahead of trap 1. Course suitability of 51 and distance suitability of 43 are the strongest in the race, built on a genuine history of running competitively at Hove over 500 metres. The form before the break showed P54 at A5 and a P68 five runs back — both credible A5 performances at this track. Trainer Barry runs at 24%, the joint-strongest in the race. The honest caveat is 93 days off the track: that is a meaningful layoff and there is no trial form to bridge the absence. If she returns at 90% of her previous level, the structural and statistical advantages should carry her through. The selection is made with that caveat explicitly acknowledged.
Best consistent recent form, good draw, second here recently. Fader profile at 500m is the caveat. The danger.
Wrong trip last time, weakest course suitability. Hard to recommend despite the Closer profile.
Lowest speed, poor course affinity. Workable form but other runners preferred.
A4 form good but declining, weakest course affinity, poor draw. Not the selection.
T3 and T1 are co-dominant draws at A5 (23.4%/23.0%). Speed rank 1 (25.1%) and composite rank 1 (24.7%) both point to Pocket Darcey in T3. Three signals on one runner — rare alignment.
T1:23.0%(270r) T2:18.7%(268r) T3:23.4%(227r) T4:19.8%(232r) T5:17.2%(134r) T6:16.8%(173r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Punk Rock Harley | 57 | 30 | Fader |
2Ballyborna Lad | 45 | 100 | Closer |
3Pocket Darcey | 61 | 7 | Fader |
4Montalto Runner | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Keeperhill Duke | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 285m | 450m | 500m | 515m | 695m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Punk Rock Harley | — | — | — | 0.605 | — | — |
| 2 | Ballyborna Lad | — | 0.594 | 0.620 | 0.605 | — | — |
| 3 | Pocket Darcey | — | 0.598 | — | 0.604 | 0.593 | — |
| 4 | Montalto Runner | 0.613 | — | — | 0.608 | — | — |
| 5 | Keeperhill Duke | — | — | — | 0.607 | — | 0.621 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.