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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Luttons Ivyb 4y 16 | J M Windrass — 16% R32 W5 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 41 | 45 (2) | 47 (2) | 42 (3) | 30 (5) | 40 (3) | 43 (2) | 39 (4) | 44 (3) | 30 (4) | 57 (1) | 41 | 32 | - | 35 | 42 | 53 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Grouchos Linksb 1y 14 | R J Overton — 17% R350 W61 P212 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 54 | 49 (2) | 36 (4) | 39 (4) | 20 (5) | 31 (1) | 30 (1) | 45 (3) | 21 (5) | 28 (5) | 54 (1) | 33 | 17 | - | 10 | 33 | 35 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Gethoffameb 3y 10 | D Calvert — 17% R571 W95 P325 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 42 | 56 (1) | 37 (5) | 29 (6) | 30 (5) | 41 (4) | 39 (4) | 35 (5) | 48 (3) | 36 (4) | 36 (5) | 41 | 29 | - | 7 | 36 | 41 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Amazing Emperord 3y 5 | C A Williams — 15% R381 W56 P182 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 46 | 37 (3) | 42 (3) | 33 (5) | 40 (4) | 38 (4) | 33 (5) | 50 (2) | 12 (4) | 40 (4) | 34 (5) | 17 | 18 | - | 4 | 37 | 37 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballymac Nellieb 3y 17 | C A Williams — 15% R381 W56 P182 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 56 | 34 (5) | 32 (5) | 41 (4) | 33 (5) | 33 (4) | 35 (4) | 40 (5) | 33 (5) | 18 (2) | 57 (1) | 2 | 21 | - | 14 | 35 | 35 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Glitter Moonb 4y 16 | D Calvert — 17% R571 W95 P325 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 34 (5) | 48 (2) | 34 (4) | 41 (4) | 36 (5) | 37 (4) | 32 (5) | 39 (5) | 12 (5) | 33 (5) | 28 | 23 | - | 17 | 37 | 44 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
Luttons Ivy holds a speed rating of 62 — ten points clear of the next-fastest runner in this field. At Doncaster 450m the standard distance formula allocates 65% of the composite score to field speed, meaning Luttons Ivy's pace advantage translates into dominant composite leadership. Trap 1 compounds the argument: the best structural draw at B6 over this trip at 30.61%, combining with the composite R1 signal of 35.44% to produce one of the most aligned single-race cases on today's Doncaster card. Average performance of 42 is modest in isolation but comfortably the highest in a B6 field where the ceiling is low. A front-running type from box 1 on a galloping track where trap 1 confers genuine first-bend advantage — the model and the data agree.
Below-average form and pace. Unlikely to trouble the leaders.
Weakest structural draw and inferior pace. Not a realistic winning contender.
Good structural draw but outpaced by the selection. Could run into a place.
Adequate draw and consistent form. Not a winning threat against the composite leader.
Closest pace rival but the speed gap to the selection is decisive. Unlikely to close the margin on this track.
T1 wins 30.61% at B6 450m — strongest structural draw. Composite R1 wins 35.44% from 158 runs — exceptional model signal at this grade/trip.
T1:30.61% T2:21.05% T3:18.57% T4:27.4% T5:25.81% T6:23.88%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Luttons Ivy | 40 | 100 | Closer |
2Grouchos Links | 53 | 1 | All-Rounder |
3Gethoffame | 47 | 86 | Closer |
4Amazing Emperor | 53 | 14 | All-Rounder |
5Ballymac Nellie | 57 | 0 | Fader |
6Glitter Moon | 44 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luttons Ivy | — | 0.640 |
| 2 | Grouchos Links | 0.645 | 0.646 |
| 3 | Gethoffame | — | 0.643 |
| 4 | Amazing Emperor | — | 0.644 |
| 5 | Ballymac Nellie | — | 0.644 |
| 6 | Glitter Moon | — | 0.646 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.