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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Maybe Sydneyd 3y 9 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R328 W59 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 59 | 39 (5) | 67 (4) | 83 (1) | 63 (4) | 57 (3) | 85 (1) | 81 (1) | 67 (2) | 85 (1) | 38 (5) | 52 | 45 | 56 | 48 | 65 | 57 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ivy Hill Stellab 2y 8 | D Calvert — 17% R571 W95 P325 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 53 | 50 (5) | 85 (1) | 53 (5) | 85 (1) | 72 (2) | 51 (5) | 87 (1) | 72 (2) | 75 (2) | 68 (2) | 66 | 71 | 51 | 56 | 68 | 60 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Canageob 2yN/R 36 | J W Gaskin — 24% R315 W77 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 46 | 82 (1) | 83 (4) | 60 (5) | 33 (5) | 86 (1) | 62 (1) | 42 (3) | 34 (4) | 58 (1) | 40 (4) | 44 | 40 | 30 | 27 | 64 | 41 | - | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Grouchos Bonnieb 2y 16 | D Calvert — 17% R571 W95 P325 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 40 | 42 (5) | 67 (2) | 47 (2) | 59 (4) | 63 (4) | 63 (3) | 72 (2) | 56 (4) | 70 (3) | 61 (3) | 28 | 29 | 20 | 17 | 58 | 39 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Stoneparkfortuned 2y 16 | R J Overton — 17% R350 W61 P212 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 43 | 55 (4) | 69 (3) | 83 (1) | 67 (2) | 80 (1) | 74 (2) | 63 (3) | 49 (6) | 65 (4) | 71 (5) | 24 | 24 | 30 | 33 | 68 | 45 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ On The Walld 2y 27 | J W Gaskin — 24% R315 W77 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 57 | 87 (1) | 62 (1) | 42 (5) | 72 (2) | 82 (3) | 76 (2) | 48 (5) | 90 (1) | 66 (3) | 90 (1) | 68 | 73 | - | 63 | 70 | 58 | 1 | 4/9F | - | |
The clear composite leader in this field — top average performance at 70 and the highest speed rating at 58. At Doncaster 483m the standard distance formula weights field speed heavily at 65%, which means On The Wall's pace advantage translates directly into composite dominance. The Doncaster 483m model shows the top-composite dog wins at a 75% rate in our deep reasoning dataset — an extraordinary signal on a galloping track that rewards sustained speed. Trap 6 contributes a respectable 22.8% of A2 winners, making the structural position workable. The danger from trap 1 and its 30.4% structural edge is real, but on raw merit On The Wall makes this pick straightforward.
Best structural draw, competitive form. Main danger to the selection.
Top-end form but a moderate draw. Capable of placing.
In good form but running twice today. Speed lags the top dogs.
Outgunned on form and drawn in a below-average box.
Top-end performance, worst structural draw. Cannot be recommended.
T1 wins 30.4% at A2 — structural standout. T5 worst at 14.4%. Composite R1 wins 25.4% — solid model signal on the galloping Doncaster layout.
T1:30.4% T2:18.5% T3:20.6% T4:17.6% T5:14.4% T6:22.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Maybe Sydney | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Ivy Hill Stella | 39 | 100 | Closer |
3Canageo | 0 | 0 | Fader |
4Grouchos Bonnie | 61 | 100 | All-Rounder |
5Stoneparkfortune | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6On The Wall | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 483m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (483m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | 483m | 661m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maybe Sydney | — | 0.635 | 0.621 | — |
| 2 | Ivy Hill Stella | — | — | 0.621 | — |
| 4 | Grouchos Bonnie | — | 0.625 | 0.625 | — |
| 5 | Stoneparkfortune | — | — | 0.624 | 0.649 |
| 6 | On The Wall | 0.622 | 0.622 | 0.620 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.