| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Kelseys Chancerb 3yN/R 16 | J W Gaskin — 24% R315 W77 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 49 | 53 (2) | 54 (2) | 65 (4) | 82 (1) | 78 (5) | 62 (1) | 72 (3) | 39 (3) | 44 (4) | - | 39 | 37 | 17 | 31 | 62 | 51 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Flyhigh Cerberusd 2y 15 | L B Pruhs — 14% R129 W18 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 52 | 51 (4) | 77 (1) | 76 (1) | 58 (3) | 50 (3) | 46 (3) | 68 (2) | 80 (2) | 70 (3) | 71 (2) | 36 | 34 | - | 36 | 64 | 45 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Burnpark Margob 2y 18 | S Watson — 30% R428 W128 P295 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 49 | 78 (1) | 56 (4) | 79 (3) | 74 (3) | 89 (2) | 65 (3) | 39 (5) | 50 (5) | 65 (6) | 69 (5) | 44 | 14 | - | 16 | 69 | 51 | 1 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Duggies Donnyd 3y 17 | D Calvert — 17% R571 W95 P325 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 54 | 47 (5) | 58 (4) | 52 (5) | 54 (4) | 70 (3) | 85 (1) | 53 (5) | 83 (1) | 74 (2) | 63 (4) | 27 | 36 | 37 | 21 | 60 | 47 | 2 | 5/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Millhouse Lend 3y 14 | R J Overton — 17% R350 W61 P212 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 47 (3) | 62 (3) | 48 (2) | 62 (3) | 49 (4) | 50 (4) | 63 (5) | 77 (3) | 63 (4) | 80 (1) | 23 | 32 | 17 | 22 | 57 | 43 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballymac Alexisb 3y 14 | C A Williams — 15% R381 W56 P182 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 67 | 73 (4) | 46 (3) | 47 (2) | 46 (5) | 81 (1) | 60 (2) | 37 (5) | 51 (5) | 44 (5) | 47 (4) | 34 | 28 | 32 | 26 | 51 | 39 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
Trap 1 is the structural powerhouse at A2 over 483m at Doncaster, winning 30.4% from an extensive sample. Kelseys Chancer combines that structural advantage with a speed rating of 59 — second-highest in the field — and an average performance of 62 that places it in the competitive tier of this race. At 483m standard distance the model weights field speed at 65%, meaning Kelseys Chancer's pace credentials closely match those of the composite-dominant profile. While Burnpark Margo leads on average performance and Duggies Donny on raw speed, neither benefits from the structural draw that Kelseys Chancer enjoys from trap 1. On a galloping track where the first-bend position from box one confers genuine advantage, this combination makes the case for selection.
Race form leader from an average draw. Principal danger to Kelseys Chancer.
Credible on form but outpaced and drawn below average.
Race pace leader but drawn in the second-worst box at A2. Structural disadvantage is a drag.
Outclassed in the worst structural box.
Weakest form figures. Difficult to recommend.
T1 wins 30.4% at A2 — the strongest structural draw at this grade and trip. Composite R1 wins 25.4%.
T1:30.4% T2:18.5% T3:20.6% T4:17.6% T5:14.4% T6:22.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Kelseys Chancer | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Flyhigh Cerberus | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Burnpark Margo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Duggies Donny | 100 | 89 | All-Rounder |
5Millhouse Len | 0 | 11 | Fader |
6Ballymac Alexis | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 483m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (483m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 388m | 450m | 483m | 548m | 661m | 890m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Flyhigh Cerberus | — | 0.634 | — | 0.633 | 0.639 | — | — |
| 3 | Burnpark Margo | — | — | 0.642 | 0.630 | — | 0.647 | 0.677 |
| 4 | Duggies Donny | — | — | — | 0.623 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Millhouse Len | — | — | 0.629 | 0.631 | — | 0.646 | — |
| 6 | Ballymac Alexis | 0.626 | — | 0.631 | 0.633 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.