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Connect 6 Jackpot Leg 4 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Pretendingb 2y 15 | - | - | 45 | - | 55 (4) | 53 (5) | 62 (3) | 60 (5) | 61 (4) | 81 (1) | 70 (3) | 62 (3) | 45 (6) | 70 (3) | 2 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 61 | 39 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Slippy Crystalb 2y 15 | James O'Rourke — 0% R1 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 51 (4) | 79 (1) | 74 (1) | 47 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 27 | 50 | - | 43 | 63 | 46 | 6 | 5/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Lurriga Darlab 2y 13 | Lucy Roche — 0% R1 W0 P0 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 62 (4) | 63 (4) | 65 (3) | 67 (3) | 43 (5) | 49 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | - | - | 60 | 44 | 4 | 2/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Westwind Taylord 2y 13 | - | - | 55 | - | 76 (3) | 52 (6) | 76 (6) | 59 (1) | 61 (3) | 57 (3) | 36 (2) | 37 (6) | 54 (6) | - | - | 27 | - | 20 | 60 | 46 | 2 | 1/1f | |
| 5 | ▶ Carrigmore Beard 1y 1 | - | - | 59 | - | 46 (5) | 55 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50 | 44 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Saleen Actiond 1y 1 | Patrick O'Connor — 0% R9 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 42 (4) | 44 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 43 | 39 | 3 | 6/4 | |
Slippy Crystal is selected as the form pick in this A4 on the combination of the highest avgPerf in the field (63), the best Tralee 525m suitability profile (Tk50/D43/Tr27), and the most significant form credentials at higher grades. Her wins at A5 (P79, January 2026) and A6 (P74, December 2025) show she has won convincingly at grades below today's A4. Most recently P51 fourth (A4, May) — competitive at today's exact grade. The P79 A5 win and P74 A6 win are now 5-6 months old, which is the key concern — have these wins aged out of relevance? However, the recent P51 fourth at A4 shows she is still racing at this grade competitively and her suitability profile (Tk50/D43) is far superior to any other runner, reflecting genuine Tralee 525m familiarity across many runs. Trap 2 at Tralee 525m returns 13.8% from 1078 runs — slightly below the leading T1 draw, which is the main structural concern. Confidence is Speculative as this is a competitive A4 field and her wins are now several months old.
Best draw with consistent A4 form and a P62 third at A3 (higher grade). Main danger to the selection — the T1 structural advantage combined with competitive A4 placings makes Pretending the clearest threat.
Consistent A4/A3 placer with P62-P67 range results at those grades. Competitive but no wins demonstrated — cannot be preferred over the selection who has winning form at A5/A6.
P76 third at A3 (one grade above today) would win this A4 comfortably, but two sixths at A3 previously show extreme inconsistency. The form variance makes her too unreliable to select as pick.
Two ungraded trial runs only — cannot assess A4 grade ability with any confidence. Weakest draw in the race. Will need to improve enormously to compete with experienced A4/A3 runners.
Lowest avgPerf in the field (43) from two ungraded trials only. Massive class step up required to compete with experienced A4 runners in the 60-63 avgPerf range. Cannot be assessed positively.
Tralee 525m has low trap separation. In this competitive A4 field, Slippy Crystal's combination of highest avgPerf (63), best Tralee suitability profile (Tk50/D43), and recent A4 competitive form narrows the selection. T2 draw at 13.8% is modest but not prohibitive.
T1:15.6% T2:13.8% T3:14.1% T4:14.4% T5:12.2% T6:13.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.