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Connect 6 Jackpot 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Knocknaboul Brisb 2y 15 | - | - | 50 | - | 60 (3) | 50 (2) | 48 (3) | 44 (5) | 49 (3) | 28 (6) | 44 (4) | 34 (5) | 36 (6) | 61 (1) | 2 | 16 | - | 14 | 47 | 37 | 4 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Beginish Fizzb 1y 23 | - | - | 56 | - | 44 (4) | 61 (3) | 36 (6) | 46 (3) | 45 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 47 | 35 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Devon Susieb 2y 15 | - | - | 26 | - | 37 (6) | 38 (5) | 30 (6) | 33 (5) | 30 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 34 | 19 | 6 | 3/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Maglass Rangerd 2y 24 | - | - | 56 | - | 58 (5) | 44 (5) | 37 (4) | 46 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | 47 | 35 | 2 | 2/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Toremore Irisb 2y 46 | - | - | 40 | - | 48 (5) | 34 (6) | 32 (6) | 53 (5) | 59 (4) | 38 (6) | 70 (1) | 29 (6) | 53 (3) | - | - | 12 | - | - | 45 | 16 | 5 | 4/6f | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballyverry Lassb 1y 1 | Patrick O'Connor — 0% R9 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 53 (2) | 38 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 | 8 | - | 18 | 46 | 38 | 3 | 2/1 | |
Knocknaboul Bris is selected as the marginal pick in a very tight A6 field, combining the best draw at Tralee 525m (T1: 15.6% from 1053 runs) with the best recent form. Her recent 525m form is the most relevant in this race: P60 for third at A6 525m on 14 May (grade-matched), P50 for second at A8 525m on 4 April, P48 for third at A8 on 7 March — three consecutive placed efforts at 525m with the most recent at A6 level. AvgPerf 47 is joint-highest in the field alongside Beginish Fizz and Maglass Ranger. Track suitability Tk16/D14 shows some Tralee 525m familiarity. The A6 run most recently is the key differentiator — she has proven she can place at this exact grade and distance, whereas most rivals are stepping up from lower grades or have less consistent recent form. Confidence is Speculative due to the narrow margins in the field and low trap separation at this venue.
P61 third at A6 is the best single performance in the field and makes Beginish Fizz the clearest danger. Form range is wider than the selection's consistent placings — rated slightly behind on consistency.
Lowest avgPerf in the field by a wide margin, four consecutive tail-end finishes including at lower grades. No basis for a positive assessment.
Joint-highest avgPerf but consistent mid-field finishing positions (fourth, fifth) across multiple 525m runs. The form positions suggest he cannot convert average performance into front-end finishes.
All form at 325m sprint distance with no 525m record. Step-up in trip from the worst draw at this venue. Worst structural and distance profile in the race.
P53 second is encouraging but only two runs makes assessment highly uncertain. Cannot be preferred over runners with more established 525m form profiles at Tralee.
Tralee 525m trap separation is low — R1 minus R3 win% is only 1.5pp. T1 leads at 15.6% and T5 is weakest at 12.2%. In such a tight field, the T1 draw advantage is marginal but Knocknaboul Bris also has the best form evidence at A6 grade.
T1:15.6% T2:13.8% T3:14.1% T4:14.4% T5:12.2% T6:13.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.