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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Go On Larryd 5y 24 | P B Witchell — 17% R103 W17 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 16 (5) | 18 (5) | 18 (5) | 13 (5) | 28 (2) | 24 (3) | 19 (5) | 28 (2) | 31 (1) | 22 (5) | 28 | 31 | 23 | 29 | 59 | 49 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Rockmount Moeb 3y 5 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 28 (2) | 23 (3) | 22 (4) | 21 (5) | 20 (5) | 25 (2) | 25 (1) | 24 (4) | 33 (4) | - | 38 | 47 | 25 | 47 | 55 | 51 | 3 | 7/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Joyces Sadieb 2y 35 | J D T Allen — 11% R210 W24 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 86 | 41 (4) | 38 (5) | 61 (1) | 25 (2) | 14 (5) | 47 (2) | 39 (4) | 25 (3) | 13 (5) | - | 44 | 19 | - | 23 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 16/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Links Aphrodited 3y 24 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 24 (1) | 20 (5) | 20 (4) | 23 (4) | 25 (3) | 33 (1) | 15 (5) | 27 (3) | 21 (5) | 31 (2) | 27 | 29 | 21 | 26 | 59 | 48 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Edermine Bucksd 2y 15 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 14 | 34 (1) | 24 (4) | 27 (3) | 27 (3) | 52 (2) | 33 (1) | 15 (5) | 18 (4) | 20 (4) | - | 20 | 28 | 14 | 35 | 57 | 47 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Baran Ronaldod 5y 16 | P B Witchell — 17% R103 W17 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 21 (5) | 26 (2) | 33 (1) | 26 (3) | 14 (5) | 12 (1) | 23 (5) | 33 (4) | 31 (1) | - | 35 | 33 | 17 | 37 | 60 | 51 | 1 | 11/4 | |
Form: 6-2-4-3-1 (improving with recent win). avgP 59, spdR 55, bendR 60. Suitability: Trap 48, Track 36, Distance 44, Class 28. THE PICK. T6 at 23.5% in D4 238m — dominant trap position. spdR 55 is best in the field. bendR 60 is second-best (behind Joyces Sadie's 86 but that dog can't break). Best trap suitability at 48 confirms this dog knows how to use T6. Recent win shows form is improving. Comments would show the running style — from T6 this dog should sweep wide. The concern: avgP 59 is tied with Go On Larry (the danger) and the 6th-place finish (38 perf) shows the floor is low. Class suitability at 28 is mediocre. Medium confidence because Go On Larry's EP/Rails from T1 is a genuine counter-strategy — when it breaks, T1 can match T6. But T6's 3.5pp statistical advantage over T1 tips the balance. The spdR edge (55 vs Larry's 58 — actually Larry is faster) makes this tight, but the trap bias data and suitability scores favour T6.
80 perf recent win with EP/Rails from T1 — devastating when it breaks. T1 second-best at 20%, spdR 58 second-best. But SAw in 2 of 3 runs. Ceiling is highest in race but inconsistent break makes it a danger not a pick.
Fell in a recent race (SAw,FcdTCk&Fell). Competitive form is 43-64-43-41. T2 below average. High suitability scores (47/47) but too trouble-prone and declining.
Elite bendR (86) but worst spdR (36). Slow Away + Crowded at 1st in EVERY recent run. Zero class suitability for D4. The bend speed is wasted by the slow start.
78 perf win is fading memory — declining since (54, 54, 51). spdR 44 poor for sprints. T4 below average at 17.4%. EP ability has disappeared (now SAw).
Catastrophic bendR (14) + worst trap (T5: 15%) = impossible combination for 238m sprints. Runs wide which makes T5 even worse. Not competitive.
T6 wins 23.5% (872r) — 4pp above average. T1 second at 20%. Speed rank 1 wins 19.7%. Composite rank 1 wins 20.1%. This is a competitive D4 field where the top 3 dogs are closely matched — trap draw may be the decisive factor.
T1:20.0% | T2:16.8% | T3:17.8% | T4:17.4% | T5:15.0% | T6:23.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.