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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Callieb 3y 15 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 19 (6) | 21 (6) | 26 (5) | 25 (5) | 27 (5) | 31 (3) | 20 (3) | 28 (4) | 28 (3) | 30 (3) | 40 | 34 | 32 | 38 | 57 | 50 | 4 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Miltons Dreamd 5y 44 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 46 | 22 (5) | 42 (4) | 59 (3) | 27 (3) | 30 (2) | 17 (4) | 71 (1) | 19 (5) | 17 (3) | 16 (5) | 54 | 27 | - | 39 | 61 | 54 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Signet Duded 3y 14 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 20 (5) | 38 (1) | 39 (1) | 33 (2) | 31 (3) | 40 (1) | 23 (5) | 39 (1) | 27 (3) | 34 (2) | 41 | 46 | 43 | 46 | 63 | 56 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Baran Bradyd 5y 15 | P B Witchell — 17% R103 W17 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 24 (3) | 27 (3) | 34 (1) | 16 (6) | 25 (4) | 25 (1) | 33 (5) | 26 (1) | 25 (2) | - | 23 | 20 | 27 | 28 | 59 | 47 | 5 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Ever So Tenderd 2y 8 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 54 | 20 (6) | 22 (6) | 18 (6) | 47 (5) | 57 (3) | 18 (2) | 47 (5) | 31 (3) | 23 (1) | 24 (5) | 30 | 42 | 20 | 48 | 62 | 54 | 1 | 10/11F | |
Form: 2-4-5-3-1 (improving with recent win). avgP 62, spdR 61, bendR 54. Suitability: Trap 30, Track 42, Distance 48, Class 20. THE PICK. T6 wins 28.2% at D3 238m — the most extreme trap bias of the entire Harlow meeting. spdR 61 is comfortably the best in the field (next best is 53). bendR 54 is also best with available data. Recent win shows improving form trajectory. Comments: 'VQAw,ALd,MidTWide' — Very Quick Away, Always Led, Middle To Wide. That is the PERFECT running style for T6 at tight Harlow — sweeps wide from the outside, takes the first bend on the rail, and leads all the way. Trainer D R E Ellerker at 12% is below average, which is the one concern, along with class suitability at 20 (stepping up from D4 to D3). But speed rank 1 wins 21.4% at D3 238m, and this dog IS speed rank 1 by a wide margin. Combined with the 28.2% T6 bias — the single strongest statistical edge of the meeting — this is a strong pick. The speed advantage from the dominant trap position is near-impossible to overcome at 238m.
Best avgP (63) with proven D3 win (77). QAw/Led style from T4 (18.5%, second-best trap). Best overall suitability spread. Recent decline is only concern. Genuine danger.
Recent winner (76) but surrounded by 35-44 performances. EP/Rails from T1 works when breaks well, but VSAw tendency and D4-to-D3 class rise are concerns. Too inconsistent.
T3 is dead at 13.3% in D3 238m. Slow away in every recent run with constant interference. Strong finisher (RanOn) but 238m sprints don't forgive slow starts. Wrong distance, wrong trap.
84 perf recent win is eye-catching but from D5 — massive 2-grade class rise. T5 poor at 16%, all suitability scores below 28. Front-running style conflicts with T5 draw. Too much to overcome.
T6 at 28.2% (227r) is the most extreme trap bias of the entire Harlow meeting — nearly 12pp above T3 (13.3%, dead last). D3 is a higher grade than D4/D5, so dogs are faster and T6 wide-running advantage compounds. Composite rank 1 wins 21.5%. Speed rank 1 wins 21.4%. P Clarke 28.6% in D3 238m, D R Jinks 20%.
T1:17.9% | T2:19.8% | T3:13.3% | T4:18.5% | T5:16.0% | T6:28.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.