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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salems Bluesb 4y 36 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 38 | 55 (2) | 30 (1) | 65 (1) | 16 (6) | 34 (5) | 14 (4) | 17 (2) | 11 (6) | 31 (1) | 52 (3) | 34 | 24 | 32 | 32 | 59 | 49 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Skidrow Jaked 1y 13 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 50 | 18 (2) | 33 (5) | 19 (5) | 42 (4) | 32 (6) | 53 (3) | 14 (3) | 30 (3) | 30 (1) | - | 18 | 13 | 24 | 24 | 46 | 36 | 6 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Badminton Beachb 3y 17 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 47 | 40 (4) | 37 (6) | 13 (5) | 16 (3) | 34 (5) | 63 (1) | 38 (5) | 44 (4) | 56 (3) | 63 (1) | 23 | 22 | 19 | 16 | 55 | 43 | 2 | 9/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Marketb 3y 15 | P B Witchell — 17% R103 W17 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 62 | 20 (3) | 21 (2) | 20 (4) | 18 (5) | 20 (4) | 12 (6) | 22 (2) | 39 (4) | 33 (5) | 36 (5) | 32 | 25 | 29 | 30 | 48 | 41 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Keepers Notgroveb 2y 17 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 55 | 35 (5) | 13 (4) | 31 (6) | 11 (5) | 15 (4) | 9 (6) | 13 (5) | 22 (1) | 38 (5) | 64 (1) | 17 | 18 | 26 | 26 | 52 | 41 | 4 | 11/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Orange Decland 4y 24 | J D T Allen — 11% R210 W24 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 55 | 45 (2) | 33 (5) | 19 (5) | 12 (6) | 32 (1) | 30 (6) | 60 (2) | 36 (5) | 41 (4) | 31 (1) | 23 | 41 | 13 | 22 | 54 | 45 | 3 | 4/1 | |
Form: 2-5-4-2-1 (improving with recent win at 76). avgP 59, spdR 60, bendR 38. Suitability: Trap 34, Track 24, Distance 32, Class 32. THE PICK. Best spdR in the field at 60 and best avgP at 59 (tied with improving trend). T1 wins 20.5% at A7 415m — best trap position. The recent form trajectory is compelling: 51 → 71 → 76, a clear upward surge. Comments: 'VSAw,RanOn,Rails' — consistently Very Slow Away but Ran On along the Rails. This is a strong finisher who uses the rails position to maximum effect. The slow-away tendency is normally fatal but at 415m there are two bends to recover, and the RanOn style with tonight's tailwind through the finish is a potent combination. The bendR 38 is poor, but at 415m from T1 the dog can hug the rails through the bends without needing to be fast around them. Trainer D R Jinks at 12% is below average. Medium confidence because the VSAw tendency could see this dog too far back to recover, but the improving form, rails position, and tailwind conditions all align.
spdR 58 (2nd best) with proven A7 win (71). SAw/RanOn finisher style like the pick. But T3 worst trap (16.4%) and poor suitability across the board. Danger if avoids bend trouble.
Worst in field (avgP 46, spdR 41, track suit 13). Constant interference in every run. T2 below average. Not competitive.
Best bendR (62) but constant interference (bumped at 3 bends in one run). Recent 71 win looks like an outlier given 4 poor runs before it. T4 below average.
EP/QAw style is positive but suitability all very poor (17-26). Two recent 2nds but declining since. Mid-range trap, mid-range dog.
T6 draw (19.9%) wasted by spdR 36 and declining form. Two 6ths from last 5. Can't exploit the wide advantage without pace.
More balanced than sprints — T1 actually leads at 20.5%, T6 close at 19.9%. At A7 415m the field quality is lower, so strong finishers who run on through the home straight can overcome bend positioning. Composite rank 1 wins 20.7%. Bend rank 1 wins 20.1%. Tailwind tonight favours finishers.
T1:20.5% | T2:17.3% | T3:16.4% | T4:17.3% | T5:18.3% | T6:19.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Salems Blues | 45 | 79 | Closer |
2Skidrow Jake | 51 | 49 | All-Rounder |
3Badminton Beach | 46 | 73 | Closer |
4Market | 60 | 31 | Fader |
5Keepers Notgrove | 56 | 40 | Fader |
6Orange Declan | 49 | 51 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.