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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fastlane Lillyb 2y 17 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 21 (5) | 25 (4) | 65 (1) | 25 (2) | 19 (6) | 26 (3) | 19 (3) | 33 (1) | 20 (5) | 28 (2) | 38 | 37 | 32 | 38 | 26 | 31 | 3 | 9/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tullycanna Sadieb 2y 7 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 41 (4) | 21 (5) | 19 (6) | 40 (4) | 21 (4) | 47 (4) | 25 (1) | 24 (4) | 25 (1) | 20 (2) | 43 | 40 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 36 | 2 | 11/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Spade Workb 2y 8 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 22 (2) | 33 (2) | 34 (1) | 23 (2) | 25 (2) | 28 (4) | 24 (1) | 34 (1) | 28 (4) | 17 (4) | 31 | 28 | 19 | 31 | 25 | 27 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Outlanderd 5y 27 | P Crowson — 33% R6 W2 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 34 (1) | 25 (4) | 23 (4) | 22 (5) | 25 (5) | 34 (1) | 26 (5) | 33 (1) | 28 (3) | 20 (4) | 40 | 40 | 33 | 34 | 25 | 31 | 1 | 7/4F | |
| 6 | ▶ Snoozing Plumb 5y 24 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 24 (4) | 30 (2) | 24 (3) | 33 (1) | 19 (4) | 21 (2) | 21 (5) | 26 (3) | 24 (4) | 29 (2) | 36 | 31 | 41 | 37 | 27 | 30 | 4 | 4/1 | |
Tullycanna Sadie is the dominant force in this race, combining the highest performance rating (31) with exceptional suitability across all dimensions. Trap suitability (43) is the field's strongest, track suitability (40) is exceptional, and distance suitability (40) equals the best available. This convergence of high performance and consistent suitability excellence is rare in Harlow sprints. Trap 3 (19.8% historical win rate) provides additional positional advantage. The combination creates multiple reinforcing advantages: Tullycanna Sadie is the most accomplished dog in the field, suited to the track and distance conditions, positioned favourably, and from a competent trainer. Unless race disruption (poor break, interference) occurs, Tullycanna Sadie should control the race. At D4 level, performance ratings correlate more strongly with outcomes than at lower grades, supporting this favourite's profile.
Dangerous secondary. Trap 6 advantage (23.5%) could overcome performance gap (27 vs 31). Monitor break; competitive early race scenario exists, but Tullycanna Sadie likely holds the edge.
Secondary tier. Moderate performance (26) lacks advantage against higher-rated rivals. Likely 3rd-4th finish.
Non-competitive. Lowest performance (25) combined with weak suitability. Likely 5th-6th finish.
Unlikely to feature. Dead-trap positioning compounds lowest-tier performance. Avoid.
D4 grade shows stronger performance-outcome correlation than D5. Tullycanna Sadie's performance (31) is 4-6 points clear, rare for Harlow 238m. Suitability profile (trap 43, track 40, distance 40) is exceptional—consistency across all dimensions indicates genuine adaptation to conditions. Historical ROI (-24.7% win) shows typical Harlow variance, but favourites from strong performance/suitability combinations beat the trend.
T1: 18.2% | T2: 17.1% | T3: 19.8% | T4: 17.3% | T5: 15.7% | T6: 23.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.