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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Old Fort Rintyd 3y 16 | P Clarke — 14% R518 W72 P274 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 36 | 55 (3) | 48 (4) | 57 (4) | 57 (4) | 58 (2) | 57 (4) | 48 (3) | 65 (2) | 50 (5) | 62 (3) | 38 | 31 | 34 | 35 | 65 | 52 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Headford Muskd 1y 6 | S A Saberton — 23% R396 W90 P254 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 46 | 79 (1) | 62 (3) | 62 (3) | 48 (5) | 56 (4) | 53 (4) | 25 (1) | 62 (2) | 69 (1) | 49 (4) | 20 | 33 | - | 23 | 39 | 32 | 5 | 9/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballinulty Jessb 2y 26 | S A Saberton — 23% R396 W90 P254 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 50 | 55 (3) | 31 (2) | 26 (4) | 39 (1) | 35 (2) | 38 (1) | 25 (5) | 26 (1) | 46 (5) | 40 (5) | 49 | 45 | 39 | 43 | 64 | 56 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hi Tontod 3y 6 | D R Jinks — 16% R554 W90 P304 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 55 | 60 (2) | 44 (4) | 48 (5) | 46 (5) | 64 (2) | 50 (5) | 13 (6) | 56 (1) | 46 (3) | - | 31 | 34 | 24 | 31 | 52 | 43 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Baggins Ladd 3y 25 | D R Jinks — 16% R554 W90 P304 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 63 | 64 (2) | 29 (4) | 79 (1) | 38 (1) | 35 (1) | 43 (5) | 57 (3) | 79 (1) | 78 (1) | 63 (2) | 41 | 55 | 44 | 53 | 67 | 58 | 1 | 11/8F | - | |
Baggins Lad is the exceptional standout, combining the highest performance (67) with a rare suitability profile of comprehensive strength. Track suitability (55) is exceptional, distance suitability (53) is the field's highest, class suitability (44) is strong, and trap suitability (41) is solid. This coherence across all dimensions indicates genuine comprehensive adaptation to Harlow 415m A5 conditions. Trap 6 (18.5% historical win rate at 415m) is competitive, offering advantage over neutral/disadvantaged positions. The combination of superior performance plus exceptional suitability across all critical dimensions plus competitive trap positioning creates a high-confidence scenario. At A5 level, where form coherence is essential, Baggins Lad's profile stands apart. Unless race disruption occurs, this dog should control the race decisively.
Dangerous secondary. Trap 1 advantage (20.8%) could compensate for weaker suitability, but Baggins Lad's profile is superior. Place threat, less likely to win.
Non-competitive. Class suitability (0) indicates unsuitable for A5. Lowest performance (39) confirms mismatch. Avoid.
Secondary tier. Excellent suitability offset by neutral trap 4 and 3-point performance gap. Place threat against Baggins Lad's superiority.
Unlikely to feature. Midfield performance combined with unfavourable trap. Avoid.
A5 grade shows stronger form coherence than lower grades. Baggins Lad (67) with exceptional suitability (track 55, distance 53, class 44) is rare profile. Old Fort Rinty (T1, 65) offers trap advantage but weaker suitability (track 31). Ballinulty Jess (64) matches performance of Old Fort Rinty but from neutral trap 4. Baggins Lad's suitability coherence combined with competitive trap positioning creates rare high-confidence scenario at 415m.
T1: 20.8% (strongest at 415m), T6: 18.5% (competitive)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Old Fort Rinty | 39 | 98 | Closer |
2Headford Musk | 47 | 66 | Closer |
4Ballinulty Jess | 61 | 50 | Front Runner |
5Hi Tonto | 50 | 41 | All-Rounder |
6Baggins Lad | 65 | 41 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 415m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (415m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 415m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Old Fort Rinty | — | 0.656 | — |
| 2 | Headford Musk | — | 0.650 | 0.617 |
| 4 | Ballinulty Jess | 0.654 | 0.665 | — |
| 5 | Hi Tonto | — | 0.660 | — |
| 6 | Baggins Lad | 0.650 | 0.650 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.