#Lovethedogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Howay Bluestarb 2y 38 | J J Fenwick — 19% R495 W95 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 57 | 26 (6) | 41 (3) | 35 (6) | 54 (2) | 46 (5) | 60 (2) | 49 (5) | 40 (5) | 69 (1) | 39 (6) | 28 | 34 | 25 | 31 | 55 | 47 | 2 | 14/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Proud Oneb 1y 5 | A Harrison — 20% R512 W101 P310 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 33 | 56 (3) | 37 (5) | 41 (6) | 73 (1) | 51 (3) | 72 (1) | 71 (1) | 56 (1) | 32 (4) | 40 (4) | - | 37 | - | 32 | 61 | 52 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Jackos Codyd 1y 19 | D Winder — 19% R129 W25 P59 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 53 | 73 (1) | 63 (2) | 68 (1) | 52 (2) | 62 (1) | 50 (4) | 53 (2) | 51 (2) | 35 (5) | - | 50 | 46 | - | 15 | 59 | 51 | 3 | 9/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Anglesey Savanab 2y 33 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 25 | 61 (4) | 66 (5) | 49 (2) | 50 (4) | 63 (1) | 56 (2) | 47 (2) | 57 (5) | 72 (1) | 49 (4) | 7 | 42 | - | 32 | 53 | 44 | 5 | 2/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Smurfs Babyb 3y 4 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 52 | 51 (5) | 46 (2) | 48 (2) | 47 (3) | 53 (2) | 56 (2) | 46 (2) | 44 (3) | 62 (5) | - | 35 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 57 | 48 | 4 | 7/4F | |
Best AP in the field at 61 — clear daylight over the rest. Elite Closer (CS 77, PC 87) who closes hard and does it reliably. Recent form is superb: 1st HP, 1st HP, 1st A8 — three consecutive wins, dropping back from those wins to A7 today. Speed 39 is the worst in the field and bend 33 means she'll be last or second-last into the first bend. But at 480m on Newcastle's galloping track she has the time and room to close. Track suitability 37 is strong. The consecutive wins show a dog in peak form hitting her stride. Class suit 0 and trap 0 are concerns — she hasn't won at A7 specifically — but she's winning races, which is what matters.
DANGER: Will lead from T1 with best bend (57). PC 87 reliability means he'll run his race. If Proud One has an off-day (unlikely at PC 87), Howay Bluestar holds on.
Consistent All-Rounder who knows the track. But AP 59 and CS 39 fading profile limit him against Proud One's closing power.
ELIMINATE. PC 26 = once-in-four reliability. Trial form misleading. CS 100 + speed 56 means she can win on her day, but you'll lose three times for every win.
T6 draw is powerful (23.4%) but declining form (HP losses after A7 win) is a concern. Place chance on the draw alone.
T6 dominant at 23.4% from 231 runs in A7. Composite R3 beats R1 (24.3% vs 18.7%) — massive upset frequency in A7 races. This grade is chaotic and favours closers who pick up the pieces.
T1:17.0%(259) T2:15.8%(316) T3:19.5%(308) T4:20.3%(349) T5:14.9%(328) T6:23.4%(231)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Howay Bluestar | 52 | 33 | All-Rounder |
2Proud One | 27 | 77 | Closer |
3Jackos Cody | 51 | 39 | All-Rounder |
4Anglesey Savana | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Smurfs Baby | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.