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@NewcastleDogs On Twitter Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ratchies Rasmusd 4y 24 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 50 | 37 (5) | 35 (5) | 47 (3) | 57 (2) | 57 (1) | 51 (4) | 42 (4) | 52 (3) | 45 (4) | 53 (2) | 30 | 29 | 17 | 29 | 55 | 46 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Blackhouseharietb 2y 11 | S Ray — 14% R408 W58 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 71 (1) | 67 (1) | 61 (2) | 46 (4) | 67 (1) | 62 (1) | 50 (2) | 48 (3) | 44 (3) | 51 (3) | - | 31 | 14 | 27 | 55 | 46 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Daunting Taskd 2y 25 | D Winder — 19% R129 W25 P59 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 58 | 21 (5) | 18 (6) | 52 (3) | 45 (4) | 62 (1) | 41 (3) | 48 (4) | 44 (4) | 37 (5) | 45 (4) | 34 | 27 | 17 | 27 | 53 | 45 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Days Lashingb 2y 26 | J T Edgar — 16% R476 W78 P268 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 61 | 68 (5) | 79 (3) | 66 (2) | 62 (1) | 49 (4) | 27 (6) | 70 (1) | 53 (2) | 53 (2) | 36 (5) | 39 | 33 | 39 | 33 | 58 | 50 | 1 | 9/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Hazelhill Blueb 4y 44 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 2 | 68 (1) | 24 (5) | 40 (5) | 30 (3) | 36 (1) | 30 (2) | 35 (6) | 39 (5) | 41 (5) | 50 (3) | 22 | 25 | - | 25 | 58 | 46 | 5 | 6/5F | |
Best AP in the field at 58 with best bend (61) and best suitability (36). Drawn in T4 — the dominant trap in A6 480m at 22.3% from 359 runs. Fader (EP 58, CS 30, PC 82) but CS 30 is moderate fading, not catastrophic. Recent: 3rd A6, 2nd A6, 4th A6 — consistently competitive at this exact level without winning. Suitability breakdown: track 33, distance 33, trap 39, class 39 — class 39 is best in field by a mile, proving he belongs at A6. The concern is that 3rd/2nd/4th form shows a dog that competes but doesn't win. However, best trap + best bend + best AP + best suitability is a strong combination.
DANGER: Best speed (53) + Winder 30% trainer + honest All-Rounder profile. Will sit close to the pace and may quicken past Days Lashing in the closing stages. The main threat.
Honest runner, place chance at best. Nothing in the profile suggests a win at A6.
Wrong trap, wrong profile for this race. Needs everything to fall apart in front of her.
ELIMINATE. BN 2 from T6 means she gives up too much ground early. Class 0 says she's never performed at A6. The HP wins are irrelevant at this grade. Dead last into the first bend.
T4 dominant at 22.3% from 359 runs in A6 480m. T6 worst at 15.6% — bad draw for wide runners. Speed R1 and R2 almost equal at 21.5% and 21.4% — raw speed alone doesn't decide A6 races.
T1:20.7%(295) T2:17.5%(332) T3:20.0%(350) T4:22.3%(359) T5:18.2%(296) T6:15.6%(231)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ratchies Rasmus | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Blackhousehariet | 49 | 56 | Closer |
3Daunting Task | 50 | 47 | All-Rounder |
4Days Lashing | 58 | 30 | Fader |
6Hazelhill Blue | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.