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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Manx Saskiab 4y 14 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 25 (4) | 22 (5) | 29 (4) | 27 (4) | 27 (4) | 33 (3) | 27 (4) | 31 (4) | 25 (5) | 30 (4) | 35 | 38 | 43 | 38 | 65 | 55 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Mahomesd 3y 26 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 27 (4) | 34 (3) | 26 (5) | 29 (3) | 28 (4) | 33 (3) | 28 (5) | 27 (4) | 41 (1) | 34 (2) | 26 | 45 | 38 | 48 | 62 | 54 | 4 | 11/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Devon Luckyd 2yN/R 26 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 16 | - | 56 (1) | 45 (3) | 47 (2) | 36 (1) | 24 (3) | 26 (4) | 24 (1) | 23 (3) | 31 (1) | 21 (4) | 23 | 27 | - | 35 | 48 | 41 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Vinegarhill Cashd 2y 17 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 35 (4) | 25 (5) | 28 (5) | 41 (1) | 33 (3) | 38 (2) | 38 (2) | 33 (2) | 33 (4) | 32 (3) | 36 | 60 | 34 | 60 | 61 | 58 | 3 | 4/7F | |
| 5 | ▶ Slaneyside Janb 2y 5 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 30 (2) | 36 (1) | 29 (3) | 33 (2) | 28 (3) | 30 (2) | 34 (2) | 28 (2) | 25 (4) | 32 (4) | 42 | 36 | 25 | 38 | 66 | 56 | 1 | 16/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Skirk Miab 4y 23 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 29 (2) | 32 (2) | 23 (5) | 30 (2) | 26 (3) | 25 (4) | 22 (5) | 24 (5) | 30 (3) | 36 (1) | 43 | 40 | 34 | 40 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 7/1 | |
The strongest overall profile in the race. AP 66 is the field-best, and form is consistently excellent: 59, 58, 75, 74, 75, 60 — four of the last six above 58, with three 74+ performances. Ten C&D runs with 4 wins (40%) is the best conversion rate in the field from the largest sample — a powerful C&D signal. Drawn T5 which is the second-best trap at D2 275m (25.8% from 194 runs). Speed 54 is mid-pack but adequate. The combination of best AP, best C&D record, strong trap, and consistent recent form creates a multi-factor alignment that's hard to argue against. TrWR 18% is neutral — this is purely about the dog's profile.
DANGER: Best speed from the dominant trap with strong C&D. The main rival to Slaneyside Jan — separated by 1 point of AP but with a better trap and better speed. The inconsistency (50, 57 mixed in with 74-76 peaks) is the differentiator.
Talented but unreliable. The 1/10 CD record from a below-average trap eliminates him as a serious contender despite the 75-level peak ability.
Can be confidently opposed. The AP and speed deficits are too large to overcome regardless of draw.
The 30% trainer placing an EP 100 dog with 37.5% CD and best suitability is compelling — but the T4 dead draw (16.5%) is a structural handicap that historically eliminates even good dogs. A tough ask from the wrong box.
Honest performer with good CD form but outgunned by the top three on class. Place money at best.
T1 and T5 are the power traps at D2 275m. Strong C&D depth: Slaneyside Jan 4/10 (40%), Manx Saskia 3/10 (30%), Vinegarhill Cash 3/8 (37.5%), Skirk Mia 3/10 (30%).
T1:26.6% T2:19.0% T3:23.3% T4:16.5% T5:25.8% T6:21.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.