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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Grouchos Linksb 1y 13 | R J Overton — 17% R325 W54 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 43 (3) | 36 (4) | 39 (4) | 20 (5) | 31 (1) | 30 (1) | 45 (3) | 21 (5) | 28 (5) | 35 (4) | - | 15 | - | 14 | 51 | 38 | 5 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Manx Stormb 4y 23 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R319 W57 P182 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 21 | 17 (3) | 19 (4) | 28 (5) | 44 (3) | 45 (4) | 37 (4) | 35 (5) | 43 (3) | 53 (2) | 36 (4) | 32 | 15 | 28 | 25 | 49 | 40 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Nellieb 3y 26 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P178 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 61 | 34 (6) | 34 (5) | 32 (5) | 41 (4) | 33 (5) | 33 (4) | 35 (4) | 40 (5) | 33 (5) | 18 (2) | 38 | 32 | 18 | 21 | 53 | 45 | 2 | 8/11F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Redbrick Whitneyb 2y 17 | J W Gaskin — 24% R308 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 46 | 31 (4) | 46 (2) | 54 (1) | 46 (2) | 55 (1) | 53 (3) | 53 (1) | 39 (3) | 54 (1) | 41 (4) | 32 | 31 | 25 | 26 | 54 | 45 | 1 | 11/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Royal Flushd 3y 7 | S A Birks — 15% R213 W33 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 52 | 56 (1) | 56 (1) | 44 (3) | 45 (3) | 44 (2) | 51 (2) | 31 (5) | 37 (4) | 40 (3) | 42 (2) | 20 | 21 | 39 | 27 | 48 | 39 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
Field-best AP at 54 with an extreme Closer profile (CS 100, EP 40) that suits the fair Doncaster 450m trip. Form is the most consistent in the field (58→57→50→58→64) with the latest 64 being the best — an improving trajectory. C&D record of 9 runs, 1 win (11%) — extensive experience but modest conversion. T5 wins 20.3% at B7 which is average. Suit scores are moderate (25-32). Speed 49 is mid-field. Trainer Gaskin at 18% is average. In a weak B7 field with narrow margins, the Closer profile at 450m Doncaster gives her the best chance of picking up the pieces when Ballymac Nellie fades. The AP edge of 54 is marginal but in a tight field it matters.
DANGER: Will lead from T4 with the best pace metrics. At B7 level the class gaps are smaller so her Fader profile may hold better than at higher grades. The main threat if the Closers can't bridge the gap in time.
Consistent but limited. The flat form trajectory at 50-51 and very low suitability make it difficult to see him winning against runners with better profiles.
Best trap draw but zero wins from 10 CD attempts tells the story. The recent form collapse (42→40) and field-worst bend rating make a win very unlikely.
The T6 trap advantage is notable but based on a small sample. AP 48 is the weakest in the field and the erratic form offers no consistency. The draw alone isn't enough.
T6 at 36.1% but small sample (36 runs). T4 at 23.1% from 78 runs is more reliable. Weak B7 field — narrow AP range 48-54. Comp R1 at 28.2% is strong.
T1:12.9% T2:20.3% T3:25.0% T4:23.1% T5:20.3% T6:36.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Grouchos Links | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Manx Storm | 25 | 100 | Closer |
4Ballymac Nellie | 65 | 0 | Fader |
5Redbrick Whitney | 40 | 100 | Closer |
6Royal Flush | 52 | 0 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grouchos Links | 0.645 | 0.647 |
| 3 | Manx Storm | 0.670 | 0.647 |
| 4 | Ballymac Nellie | — | 0.645 |
| 5 | Redbrick Whitney | — | 0.645 |
| 6 | Royal Flush | — | 0.645 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.