The speed figure tells the story: 70 is 18 points clear of the next-best runner (Glens Lucky Dip at 52). That gap is enormous — at sprint distance where speed is the primary physical attribute, an 18-point speed advantage is almost unprecedented. AP 61 is the field-best. EP 100 confirms he'll lead from the break. The Fader profile (CS 0) is irrelevant at 275m — the trip is too short for closing speed to matter. At sprint, Faders with EP 100 are actually the ideal profile: they lead and hold because there's no time for the fade to kick in. Form is consistent: 63, 52, 64, 72, 60, 59 — solid mid-60s average with a 72 peak. TrWR 26% is at the awareness threshold. T5 at D4 wins 20.1% from 159 runs — moderate but not the strongest trap. Eight C&D runs with only 1 win (12.5%) is the red flag — the speed advantage hasn't translated to wins at these conditions. But his previous D3 runs may explain the poor CD record if he was outclassed; at D4, the field quality is lower.