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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Transfer Aaliyahb 2y 14 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R318 W45 P163 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 30 | 71 (4) | 78 (2) | 76 (3) | 58 (3) | 47 (4) | 72 (4) | 69 (1) | 90 (1) | 69 (3) | 43 (5) | 58 | 33 | - | 18 | 67 | 56 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Aero Candyb 2y 16 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 12 | 60 (3) | 68 (5) | 56 (5) | 79 (3) | 74 (1) | 93 (1) | 71 (5) | 57 (4) | 73 (1) | 62 (6) | 36 | 32 | - | - | 62 | 52 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Four The Huntd 3y 35 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 36 (6) | 68 (4) | 66 (4) | 60 (5) | 69 (1) | 63 (1) | 48 (2) | 75 (3) | 77 (3) | 40 (4) | 43 | 21 | - | - | 60 | 50 | 5 | 18/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Aero Ellab 3y 45 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 79 | 57 (3) | 60 (5) | 63 (1) | 38 (6) | 46 (5) | 52 (6) | 69 (5) | 77 (3) | 58 (3) | 77 (3) | 17 | 23 | 54 | 43 | 67 | 53 | 1 | 11/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ Drumdoit Murphyd 3y 24 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 30 | 43 (4) | 86 (2) | 87 (2) | 58 (1) | 80 (4) | 87 (2) | 97 (1) | 70 (4) | 76 (5) | 47 (2) | 36 | 25 | 33 | 38 | 64 | 53 | 3 | 6/4 | |
Pure Closer (CS 100, EP 0) with the best speed in the field (55 — clear of the pack), joint-best performance (67), and proven 630m experience (5th/630m, 2nd/630m). Form is the most consistent among the closers: 67→67→75→64→60 — four of five perfs at 60+ with a 75 peak. The 75 is strong for S2 level. Suitability distance 43 is field-best, class 54 is field-best by a distance. Trainer R Taberner at 22% is joint-best. T4 wins 23.4% at Monmore 630m S2 — the second-best trap. At 630m, Closers thrive as Faders collapse, and Aero Ella has the speed and consistency to close through the field.
DANGER: The 87 peak is extraordinary — if she reproduces anywhere near that level she wins easily. But recent form (46→65) suggests she's well below peak. The 630m winning experience is a significant positive. Will be competitive if her form holds.
DANGER: The 88 peak is the highest in the race and would win this easily if reproduced. But form swings from 50 to 88 — impossible to predict. High ceiling, low floor.
ELIMINATE: Fader with zero distance suitability. One 630m attempt = 6th. Will lead for 400m then collapse.
ELIMINATE: Carbon copy of Race 1 scenario — 480m Fader trying 630m for the first time. Will die.
T6 dominant at 27.08% but no runner drawn there (5-runner race). T4 strong at 23.4%, T2 at 23.21%. T3 worst at 13.33%. R2 composite actually beats R1 (25.35% vs 21.71%) — upsets very common at S2. Moderate sample (283 runs).
T1:19.64% T2:23.21% T3:13.33% T4:23.4% T5:16.13% T6:27.08%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 630m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Transfer Aaliyah | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Aero Candy | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Four The Hunt | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Aero Ella | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Drumdoit Murphy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.