Loading racecard
Loading...
Loading racecard
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Serenity Sunsetb 3y 16 | P A Curtin — 17% R295 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 44 | 29 (5) | 26 (5) | 32 (5) | 70 (3) | 50 (6) | 77 (3) | 40 (2) | 29 (3) | 66 (3) | 42 (2) | 32 | 26 | 11 | 11 | 55 | 44 | 2 | 9/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Amazing Heatherb 2y 4 | M J Russell — 14% R179 W25 P91 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 77 (4) | 47 (2) | 68 (4) | 81 (3) | 72 (5) | 80 (3) | 88 (2) | 54 (1) | 37 (4) | 51 (2) | 10 | 18 | - | - | 55 | 41 | 5 | 9/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Blue Woodyb 2y 18 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R609 W113 P343 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 38 (3) | 36 (4) | 41 (2) | 65 (4) | 42 (4) | 41 (4) | 44 (3) | 44 (3) | 52 (2) | 47 (2) | 42 | 22 | - | - | 52 | 45 | 4 | 11/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Aero Honeyb 3yN/R 13 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 35 | 16 (6) | 24 (6) | 52 (6) | 34 (1) | 34 (5) | 39 (4) | 17 (5) | 15 (6) | 22 (5) | - | - | 9 | - | - | 46 | 33 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Droopys Moosed 4y 34 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 5 | 17 (6) | 72 (6) | 67 (2) | 50 (2) | 73 (5) | 77 (5) | 35 (1) | 60 (3) | 57 (6) | - | 22 | 29 | 51 | 30 | 63 | 50 | 1 | 13/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ Not A Lotb 2y 15 | P A Curtin — 17% R295 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 54 | 36 (3) | 40 (3) | 52 (6) | 33 (5) | 86 (1) | 65 (4) | 53 (5) | 30 (4) | 44 (3) | 84 (1) | 31 | 31 | 25 | 25 | 51 | 43 | 3 | 5/1 | |
The standout stayer in this field. Droopys Moose is a pure Closer (CS 100, EP 0) who is the ONLY runner with genuine, proven 630m form — his last five races read 2nd/630m, 2nd/630m, 5th/630m, 5th/645m, 1st/630m. He knows this distance and has won over it. Performance 63 is comfortably the highest in the field. Form trajectory is strong: 72→68→50→64→75 — two of the last five perfs over 70, including the most recent at 75 which suggests a dog hitting peak form. Speed 53 is best in the field for staying pace. Distance suitability 30 and class suitability 51 are both field-best. The concern: zero early pace (EP 0, bend 5) means he'll be last early on a tight Monmore track. But at 630m with three Faders setting unsustainable pace, there will be carnage ahead and Droopys Moose will close through it relentlessly.
DANGER: The rail draw and closing style give her a chance if Droopys Moose has trouble, but her form ceiling is 3rd at this CD and her suitability numbers are basement-level. Will place, unlikely to win.
DANGER: Best trap bias (T6 29.41%) and Closer profile suit this race shape, but form has completely collapsed. Three of last five perfs under 40. The 82 peak was a long time ago. Can place if Droopys Moose has trouble but unlikely to challenge the pick.
ELIMINATE: Zero distance suitability, confirmed Fader at CS 0, never raced this trip. Will lead for 400m then collapse completely. Dead last.
ELIMINATE: Worst trap (T3 at 5.56%), zero distance suit, confirmed Fader. The worst profile in the race.
ELIMINATE: Lowest performance in the field, Fader profile, zero distance suit. Will show early but tire badly.
T6 dominant at 29.41% from 17 runs, T2 strong at 26.67% from 45 runs. T3 terrible at 5.56%. R1 composite wins 28.05% from 82 runs — strong top-rated signal. Small sample (156 total runs) means trap bias less reliable than 480m conditions.
T1:15.56% T2:26.67% T3:5.56% T4:22.22% T5:23.08% T6:29.41%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 630m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Serenity Sunset | 3 | 77 | Closer |
2Amazing Heather | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Blue Woody | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Aero Honey | 76 | 23 | Fader |
5Droopys Moose | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Not A Lot | 24 | 81 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.