| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Pippy Longsocksb 3y 12 | J B Thompson — 19% R515 W100 P281 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 26 (3) | 23 (5) | 30 (2) | 24 (5) | 32 (2) | 37 (1) | 36 (1) | 20 (6) | 31 (1) | 24 (4) | 35 | 38 | 52 | 46 | 60 | 53 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Epic Susieb 2y 14 | M J Russell — 16% R175 W28 P91 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 28 (5) | 37 (1) | 33 (1) | 19 (6) | 25 (3) | 32 (1) | 14 (5) | 28 (4) | 14 (6) | 19 (6) | 23 | 56 | - | 44 | 60 | 53 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Whisky Girlb 3y 45 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P208 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 0 | 21 (5) | 24 (4) | 25 (6) | 28 (5) | 30 (4) | 62 (3) | 27 (6) | 77 (4) | 74 (2) | 39 (2) | 33 | 44 | - | 36 | 54 | 48 | 5 | 11/10F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Highway Blued 2y 14 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P208 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 25 (2) | 24 (3) | 26 (3) | 27 (4) | 27 (2) | 35 (1) | 24 (3) | 79 (5) | 27 (3) | - | 26 | 34 | 46 | 34 | 57 | 48 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Aero Maisieb 1y 33 | R Taberner — 20% R721 W143 P411 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 100 | 29 (4) | 67 (1) | 53 (4) | 63 (1) | 57 (2) | 50 (3) | 51 (2) | 39 (5) | 45 (6) | - | 11 | 54 | - | 50 | 56 | 50 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Elderberry Lunab 5y 12 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R325 W46 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 26 (3) | 20 (5) | 23 (5) | 23 (4) | 18 (3) | 17 (5) | 27 (6) | 26 (3) | 31 (3) | - | 38 | 42 | 40 | 37 | 56 | 50 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
264m specialist on an improving trajectory that screams confidence. Form: 53→63→74→64→71 — three of last four perfs over 63 with a 74 peak. The 71 latest shows a dog near peak form. Performance 60 is joint-best in the field. Has won at 264m (74 perf — the highest winning perf among the field). Suitability class 52 is field-best, distance 46 is strong. T1 wins 20.09% — second-best trap. The inside rail at 264m sprint on tight Monmore is ideal for holding position around the bend. Trainer J B Thompson at 12% is weak — the one negative — but the form trajectory overrides trainer concern at this level.
DANGER: If the 76-72 form returns she wins easily — no one can match that speed and quality. But the 35→51 collapse suggests something is wrong. High ceiling, uncertain floor.
DANGER: Bend 100 + EP 100 at 264m sprint means she'll lead through the bend. 74 peak from a 264m win proves she can hold on. Best trainer (22%) adds value. Inconsistency (43 and 44 dips) is the risk but when she breaks cleanly she's very dangerous.
ELIMINATE: Closer profile at 264m sprint is fundamentally wrong. Worst trap. Recent form of 4th, 6th, 5th shows she can't compete at this distance despite decent speed.
Declining form (62→50→38) from a poor trap. Was competitive 3 races ago but has collapsed. Non-factor.
Best trap (T6 21.13%) but joint-slowest speed (44). The 72 peak was a one-off — typical output is 52-55. Will struggle to match the faster dogs.
T6 best at 21.13%, T1 strong at 20.09%. T3 worst at 13.95%. R1 wins 23.03% — strong top-rated signal. Large sample (1878 runs).
T1:20.09% T2:17.76% T3:13.95% T4:16.86% T5:17.96% T6:21.13%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 275m | 460m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pippy Longsocks | 0.608 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Epic Susie | 0.614 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Whisky Girl | 0.605 | — | 0.636 | — |
| 4 | Highway Blue | 0.610 | 0.631 | — | — |
| 5 | Aero Maisie | 0.606 | — | — | 0.610 |
| 6 | Elderberry Luna | 0.614 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.