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@NewcastleDogs On Twitter Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Woo Hoos Hugod 3y 7 | J J Fenwick — 18% R506 W91 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | 64 | 56 | 47 | 54 (4) | 54 (5) | 62 (3) | 49 (5) | 64 (4) | 75 (2) | 70 (3) | 57 (4) | 63 (1) | - | 36 | 30 | 20 | 23 | 59 | 50 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Szoboszlaib 1y 15 | J T Edgar — 18% R494 W88 P276 Trainer form — last 3 months | 69 | 51 | 50 | 49 (5) | 63 (3) | 56 (4) | 53 (4) | 75 (1) | 56 (3) | 72 (1) | 55 (2) | 42 (5) | 68 (1) | 36 | 34 | 11 | 27 | 58 | 45 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Aero Donishalld 2y 35 | D Blackbird — 17% R1103 W186 P610 Trainer form — last 3 months | 82 | 46 | 44 | 72 (1) | 46 (4) | 72 (2) | 65 (3) | 68 (2) | 65 (3) | 77 (2) | 70 (2) | 78 (1) | 47 (6) | 41 | 25 | 25 | 30 | 66 | 42 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Onyago Kathy b 2y 5 | S Roberts — 17% R173 W30 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | 71 | 48 | 65 | 50 (5) | 61 (3) | 60 (3) | 72 (1) | 41 (5) | 40 (5) | 70 (1) | 60 (2) | 49 (6) | - | 37 | 36 | 6 | 24 | 56 | 45 | 4 | 2/1JF | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Blackhouse Peggyb 4y 17 | S Ray — 16% R405 W64 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | 85 | 47 | 62 | 66 (2) | 73 (1) | 49 (4) | 64 (2) | 58 (3) | 56 (3) | 55 (5) | 53 (4) | 71 (5) | - | 30 | 30 | 8 | 36 | 61 | 47 | 2 | 2/1JF | - | |
The model's top pick and the speed rank 1 dog in this field — speed figure 56, a clear advantage over the field. J J Fenwick trains him and he has been running at A3 grade recently, which is harder than today's A4 contest, suggesting he is well within his capabilities here. His A4 most recent run produced a fourth, but A3 form (P3/A3 rated 62, P5/A3 twice) shows he can compete at a higher level. A Closer from trap 1, the structural draw is below the T3 average at A4, winning only 19.3% compared to T3's 21.7%. Speed rank 1 on a track where speed is the primary factor makes him the most credible alternative to the selection, and if Aero Donishall's step up in grade proves too steep, Hugo will capitalise.
Honest A4 performer but no recent win and sitting behind stronger dogs on current form evidence.
Performance rank 1 and best structural draw. Won last time at A5 with highest recent rating in field. Selection at Tentative given class step up from A5.
Competitive A4 runner with a recent A5 win but has not broken through at A4 level. Fourth pick in the race.
Model second pick with recent A4 placing, but T6 structural draw is the weakest in this race and a concern for a wide-running Fader.
T3 wins 21.7% at A4 Newcastle 480m — the strongest structural draw in this five-runner field. Performance rank 1 combined with T3 draw is a compounding advantage. Speed R1 also remains relevant but the model top pick sits in T1 with a below-average structural draw.
T1:19.3% T2:17.8% T3:21.7% T4:18.0% T6:17.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Woo Hoos Hugo | 44 | 69 | Closer |
2Szoboszlai | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Aero Donishall | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Onyago Kathy | 58 | 9 | Fader |
6Blackhouse Peggy | 63 | 8 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Woo Hoos Hugo | — | 0.613 |
| 2 | Szoboszlai | — | 0.616 |
| 3 | Aero Donishall | 0.624 | 0.615 |
| 4 | Onyago Kathy | — | 0.618 |
| 6 | Blackhouse Peggy | — | 0.615 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.