#Lovethedogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Alnwick Pickleb 3y 25 | A Harrison — 21% R543 W112 P326 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 50 | 45 | 36 (5) | 42 (5) | 44 (3) | 42 (4) | 63 (2) | 52 (5) | 68 (1) | 57 (3) | 40 (5) | 38 (6) | 28 | 26 | 20 | 20 | 46 | 39 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ A Bit Of Noahd 4y 25 | S Ray — 16% R405 W64 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 51 | 60 | 49 (3) | 40 (4) | 47 (3) | 39 (5) | 58 (2) | 45 (5) | 49 (4) | 46 (4) | 58 (2) | 49 (3) | 25 | 24 | 12 | 14 | 47 | 39 | 5 | 7/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fabulous Lakotab 3y 6 | J T Edgar — 18% R494 W88 P276 Trainer form — last 3 months | 63 | 67 | 49 | 44 (5) | 56 (4) | 60 (3) | 68 (1) | 36 (5) | 57 (3) | 52 (3) | 51 (4) | 56 (4) | 56 (3) | 19 | 26 | 25 | 14 | 53 | 52 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Johnny Chaseb 1y 110 | J T Edgar — 18% R494 W88 P276 Trainer form — last 3 months | 78 | 32 | 50 | 71 (1) | 71 (1) | 48 (5) | 43 (4) | 37 (4) | 31 (6) | 42 (3) | 25 (6) | 51 (6) | - | 1 | 26 | 5 | 34 | 51 | 34 | 6 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Charlies Top Gund 1y | P Rutherford — 17% R341 W58 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Tino On Fired 3y 6 | J J Fenwick — 18% R506 W91 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | 66 | 47 | 46 | 46 (4) | 49 (2) | 39 (6) | 58 (1) | 31 (5) | 42 (3) | 31 (6) | 39 (4) | 39 (4) | 46 (2) | 25 | 22 | 17 | 20 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
The model top selection at predicted position 1, and a legitimate alternative — but the model weighting appears to overvalue his consistency at A7 relative to the exceptional speed advantage held by Fabulous Lakota. Tino has placed at A7 with a second from two races back, but the more recent form shows a fourth and a sixth at A7, a declining pattern. Won at A8, which is easier than today, and has been a consistent attendee at A7 without dominance. An All-Rounder from trap 6, which is among the best structural draws at A7 at 21.2%. J J Fenwick trains him. His speed figure of 47 is fourth among assessable runners, and selecting him ahead of a dog with a 16-point speed advantage and form from harder grades would require the rating model to decisively outperform the speed signal — which at Newcastle galloping track it does not, historically.
Declining form and weakest structural draw in the race. Not recommended.
Consistent placer but speed rank 2 is well behind the dominant speed in this race. Not selected.
Dominant speed rank 1 with a 16-point margin, class drop from A6 and A5, and best structural draw. Strongest pick on the Newcastle afternoon card.
Good draw and HP form but speed rank last in assessable field. Difficult to fancy against dominant pace.
No form to evaluate. Not considered for selection.
T3 wins 21.2% at A7 Newcastle — joint best with T4 and T6. Speed R1 wins 23.1% overall. When speed rank 1 margin is exceptional, the speed signal is highly reliable. Lakota has A6 winning form and the T3 structural advantage.
T1:17.8% T2:16.9% T3:21.2% T4:21.2% T6:21.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Alnwick Pickle | 44 | 66 | Closer |
2A Bit Of Noah | 57 | 43 | Fader |
3Fabulous Lakota | 50 | 65 | Closer |
4Johnny Chase | 50 | 28 | All-Rounder |
5Charlies Top Gun | — | — | No data |
6Tino On Fire | 47 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.