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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Jaxx Casparond 5y 55 | J Robinson — 19% R279 W54 P157 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 50 | 35 (4) | 35 (5) | 40 (4) | 41 (3) | 31 (6) | 40 (4) | 37 (5) | 53 (2) | 47 (2) | 35 (5) | 25 | 29 | - | - | 38 | 2 | 2 | 5/2 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Vancouver Dougd 5y 25 | W M Lyons — 19% R981 W190 P524 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | - | 18 (3) | 17 (5) | 27 (6) | 28 (2) | 16 (1) | 22 (5) | 16 (2) | 23 (5) | 20 (3) | - | 29 | 29 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 3 | 4/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Hazelgrove Parisb 3y 6 | W M Lyons — 19% R978 W190 P522 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | - | 17 (6) | 18 (6) | 20 (4) | 21 (4) | 18 (5) | 15 (6) | 14 (5) | 16 (6) | 21 (6) | - | 15 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 4 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Ballymacken Sunb 3y 8 | W M Lyons — 19% R978 W190 P522 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 50 | 14 (6) | 27 (2) | 12 (6) | 16 (6) | 23 (6) | 58 (1) | 31 (5) | 55 (1) | 28 (5) | 19 (6) | 23 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 22 | 6 | 11/8F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Jaxleg Jessb 4y 15 | B Heaton — 15% R188 W28 P91 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | - | 20 (4) | 22 (3) | 19 (5) | 18 (6) | 17 (6) | 23 (2) | 18 (5) | 28 (1) | 12 (6) | 13 (5) | 21 | 21 | 15 | 12 | 20 | 21 | 5 | 10/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Darver Is Homeb 4y 17 | M N May — 16% R259 W42 P101 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | - | 19 (5) | 19 (5) | 20 (5) | 20 (4) | 16 (6) | 22 (3) | 23 (3) | 22 (3) | 17 (6) | 18 (5) | 32 | 30 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 1 | 5/1 | ||
The model's projected winner carries the highest composite score in the race at 23 and the best overall speed figure among the dogs with form at 53. Trap 6 at 17.1% is close to the field average — not an advantage but not a meaningful structural problem at D5 where the bias is unusually flat. Critically, the pace profile here is not a Closer — this dog can get away from the traps and apply forward pressure over a 268-metre trip. In a race where the structural data is essentially flat and the fastest rival cannot be selected due to pace profile, the composite leader from a neutral draw is the model's logical pick. Speculative confidence reflects the low separation across the field.
Best structural draw in a flat-bias race. A genuine danger and the main alternative to the predicted winner.
Speed leader but Closer profile at 268m is an absolute mismatch. Cannot be selected regardless of pace figures.
Worst draw and lowest performance figure. Not selected.
Good draw but modest figures. Considered but not selected.
Below-average draw and modest figures. Not in contention.
Trap bias is unusually flat at D5 over 268m — all traps within 4 points of each other. Composite rank 1 leads at 19.1% but separation is minimal. Speed rank 1 wins 22.2% from 370 runs — pace still matters but pace profile (Front Runner vs Closer) is the more critical factor at this trip.
T1:17.6% T2:20.6% T3:16.3% T4:19.2% T5:16.8% T6:17.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.