Loading racecard
Loading racecard
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tuxedo Twlightb 4y 16 | W M Lyons — 19% R978 W190 P522 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 39 | 51 (4) | 37 (6) | 64 (1) | 34 (6) | 49 (3) | 60 (2) | 50 (2) | 50 (3) | 45 (4) | 30 (5) | 23 | 30 | 26 | 21 | 48 | 44 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Dashgrove Shadowd 4y 18 | M N May — 16% R259 W42 P101 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 57 | 47 (4) | 39 (5) | 42 (5) | 41 (6) | 35 (6) | 46 (4) | 52 (4) | 70 (1) | 46 (4) | 69 (1) | 31 | 28 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 1 | 10/3 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Baybush Rushd 3y 14 | B Heaton — 15% R188 W28 P91 Trainer form — last 3 months | 37 | 48 | 32 (5) | 39 (5) | 48 (4) | 19 (5) | 32 (1) | 18 (6) | 26 (3) | 20 (5) | 28 (6) | 63 (2) | 25 | 22 | 14 | 22 | 33 | 32 | 6 | 10/3 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Swift Lenab 2y 28 | J Robinson — 19% R278 W54 P157 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 61 | 59 (1) | 57 (1) | 50 (3) | 32 (1) | 21 (6) | 30 (2) | 29 (2) | 27 (3) | 44 (6) | 36 (1) | 32 | 24 | 23 | 50 | 42 | 42 | 2 | 2/1F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Aussie Fionnd 4y 27 | W M Lyons — 19% R978 W190 P522 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 51 | 62 (1) | 53 (2) | 38 (5) | 51 (2) | 44 (4) | 52 (3) | 51 (3) | 63 (1) | 46 (4) | 62 (1) | 25 | 29 | 38 | 45 | 52 | 43 | 3 | 7/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Leticias Prideb 4y 27 | W M Lyons — 19% R978 W190 P522 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 49 | 49 (2) | 49 (3) | 41 (5) | 63 (1) | 41 (5) | 54 (2) | 38 (5) | 73 (1) | 48 (2) | 53 (3) | 28 | 25 | 28 | 32 | 50 | 41 | 4 | 5/1 | ||
The model's projected winner combines the two most important factors at this trip: a decent structural draw and the best bend rating in the race. Trap 2 at 18.8% from 239 runs is a solid inside position — close enough to the rail to benefit from the gradient through the first bend without the extreme penalty of trap 1. A bend rating of 57 means this dog handles the first bend cleanly and maintains position where others can slip wider. An All-Rounder profile provides tactical flexibility to lead or sit close, preserving options through the middle stages. Average performance of 46 and speed of 52 are consistent A7 figures. The combination of draw, bend ability, and pace profile is a legitimate basis for selection.
Improving rapidly with best bend rating in field and strong C&D record. The primary danger and a genuine threat to the predicted winner.
Won at this grade last time with the best average performance in the field. A serious danger.
Structural dead draw at 9.8%. Opposed.
Best structural draw but weakest quality figures in the field. Draw advantage cannot compensate for that quality gap.
Solid figures but Closer from trap 6 in a race likely to be strongly run from the front. Not selected.
Trap 1 is critically dead at A7 at just 9.8% from 173 runs — well below half the dominant trap 3's rate. Trap 2 at 18.8% is a solid draw. Composite rank separation is flat, making bend rating and draw position the primary differentiators at this grade.
T1:9.8% T2:18.8% T3:20.8% T4:15.4% T5:16.1% T6:17.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tuxedo Twlight | 41 | 74 | Closer |
2Dashgrove Shadow | 52 | 49 | All-Rounder |
3Baybush Rush | 44 | 47 | All-Rounder |
4Swift Lena | 66 | 27 | Fader |
5Aussie Fionn | 53 | 51 | All-Rounder |
6Leticias Pride | 48 | 59 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.