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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Patterdale Messid 4y 24 | D Blackbird — 17% R1100 W186 P605 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 39 | 48 (5) | 62 (3) | 59 (4) | 62 (2) | 58 (5) | 83 (1) | 79 (1) | 72 (1) | 57 (3) | 50 (4) | 37 | 22 | 36 | 18 | 54 | 44 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Alnwick Meganb 2y 17 | A Harrison — 19% R524 W102 P312 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 50 (4) | 55 (4) | 65 (2) | 61 (2) | 47 (5) | 61 (3) | 60 (3) | 68 (2) | 73 (1) | 60 (2) | 45 | 51 | - | 48 | 62 | 57 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ A Bit Of Savanab 2y 19 | S Ray — 15% R404 W60 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 51 | 60 (2) | 50 (3) | 42 (6) | 48 (5) | 57 (3) | 57 (3) | 60 (3) | 61 (2) | 60 (2) | 41 (6) | 39 | 36 | - | 32 | 57 | 50 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Romeo Migd 3y 16 | J T Edgar — 17% R484 W84 P270 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 57 | 55 (4) | 77 (1) | 63 (3) | 73 (1) | 64 (2) | 43 (5) | 42 (5) | 60 (4) | 46 (5) | 36 (5) | 34 | 43 | 18 | 31 | 50 | 45 | 4 | 7/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Under The Gund 4y 25 | P Singlewood — 19% R126 W24 P70 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 45 | 53 (4) | 42 (5) | 63 (3) | 64 (3) | 63 (3) | 54 (4) | 71 (1) | 71 (1) | 66 (2) | 53 (4) | 38 | 27 | 28 | 42 | 63 | 53 | 2 | 10/1 | - | |
Alnwick Megan has been one of the most consistent performers at this level at Newcastle — three wins from her last five starts including a career-best 73 and a string of efforts in the 60s and 70s. She's drawn in the statistically best box for this grade and distance, handles the track well with a solid track suitability score, and her all-rounder profile means she can race from the front or sit just off the pace. She was caught last time after leading when crowded at the third bend, but that was a minor setback against the weight of her recent form. The combination of the dominant trap, strong course form, and consistent ratings makes her the clear selection.
Red-hot form and the strongest finishing kick in the race — the clear danger stepping up in grade.
Won at a lower level last time but faces a grade rise and isn't ideally suited by the venue.
Consistent placer who should be involved in the finish without troubling the top two.
Sharp early pace but fades badly and the dead trap compounds his problems — will contribute to the race shape without featuring.
The pick Alnwick Megan is drawn in the dominant trap with the best overall profile — structural and individual factors align. Under The Gun's closing form is exceptional but T6 is below expectation.
T1:20.2% T2:19.7% T3:21.7% T4:18.8% T5:15.8% T6:16.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Patterdale Messi | 43 | 59 | Closer |
3Alnwick Megan | 54 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4A Bit Of Savana | 50 | 46 | All-Rounder |
5Romeo Mig | 58 | 26 | Fader |
6Under The Gun | 44 | 62 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.