Drombeg Olive is drawn in the best box for A7 races at Newcastle and she has the early pace to exploit it — her bend figures are the highest in the field by a wide margin and she's been quickest away in three of her last four starts. The concern is that she fades badly in the closing stages, as shown by last time when she led from the traps to the fourth bend before being caught. But she won well two starts back when leading all the way, and the combination of the dominant trap draw and the strongest early speed gives her a clear structural advantage. In a low-separation race where the model's own ratings barely separate these dogs, that structural edge tips the balance.