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The Curraheen Park Supporters Club 525 Semi-Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lahana Hoped 1y 3 | - | - | 42 | - | 67 (1) | 48 (4) | 64 (1) | 41 (6) | 34 (5) | 43 (5) | 46 (4) | - | - | - | 8 | 18 | - | 34 | 52 | 39 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Dunbullogue Beard 3y 24 | - | - | 45 | - | 74 (1) | 54 (5) | 45 (6) | 55 (4) | 66 (2) | 49 (4) | 66 (2) | 47 (5) | 61 (2) | 62 (4) | 40 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 59 | 31 | 6 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Senior Cruised 2y 14 | - | - | 58 | - | 49 (5) | 72 (2) | 59 (5) | 77 (2) | 52 (6) | 66 (3) | 78 (1) | 66 (2) | 59 (4) | 52 (5) | - | 27 | 23 | 24 | 63 | 49 | 1 | 6/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Topside Tommyd 1y 13 | - | - | 53 | - | 46 (6) | 64 (2) | 53 (5) | 49 (5) | 45 (5) | 52 (2) | 46 (4) | - | - | - | - | 16 | 10 | 11 | 51 | 40 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hilight Rachelb 4y 12 | - | - | 58 | - | 71 (3) | 52 (6) | 67 (4) | 65 (3) | 66 (4) | 63 (3) | 54 (3) | 60 (4) | 67 (5) | - | 21 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 63 | 50 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Jacktavern Piperd 1y 3 | James Kelleher — 10% R21 W2 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 59 (2) | 68 (1) | 37 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 40 | 18 | 40 | 56 | 47 | 5 | 2/1 | - | |
Has been competing at A3 and A4 grade — the two levels above today's A5 contest. The form from higher-grade competition should be applied with a discount, but the quality is still there: second at A4 with a performance of 72, second at A3 with 77, and third at A3 with 66. The most recent run was fifth at A4 with a performance of 49, which is a dip, but the runs before that show a dog capable of performances well above what is needed at A5 grade. Drawn in trap 3, which shares the joint-best position at A5 grade over 525 metres at Curraheen Park with trap 1. The combination of higher-grade experience, a peak of 77 from A3 racing, and the best available draw position makes this the most credible pick. The caveat is the recent dip at A4 — but at A5, the class drop should give room to find form.
Danger — two recent wins at A7 from the joint-best draw at A5. Step up in grade is the question, but form confidence is high.
Worst structural draw at this grade and distance. Relevant 525m form is stale and the sprint win does not transfer. Hard to support.
Below-average draw and inconsistent A4 form. Not without ability but the draw and form pattern make this a secondary choice.
Worst structural draw and last 525m race was over six months ago. Career form is excellent but the absence from this distance is a serious concern.
Most current A5 form in the field and a decent draw. Thin three-run evidence base and below-average speed rating keep it out of the danger spot, but worth noting.
At A5 525m Curraheen Park, traps 1 and 3 are jointly dominant at 23.21% from 56 runs each. Trap 5 wins only 10.34% and trap 2 only 8.93% — structural dead draws. Composite rank 1 wins just 19.7% — below the baseline, meaning the model adds almost no value here. Form quality and trap position are the primary factors.
T1:23.21% T2:8.93% T3:23.21% T4:14.29% T5:10.34% T6:19.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 330m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lahana Hope | — | 0.575 |
| 2 | Dunbullogue Bear | 0.555 | 0.568 |
| 3 | Senior Cruise | — | 0.562 |
| 4 | Topside Tommy | — | 0.564 |
| 5 | Hilight Rachel | 0.554 | 0.561 |
| 6 | Jacktavern Piper | — | 0.571 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.