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The Bet On The Tote 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Gleaming Mattyd 3y 14 | - | - | 62 | - | 47 (5) | 29 (6) | 53 (4) | 65 (1) | 51 (4) | 50 (3) | 50 (4) | 44 (5) | 27 (6) | 48 (4) | 23 | 18 | 22 | 11 | 47 | 44 | 1 | 4/5 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Shebeen Oulsportd 1y 2 | - | - | 33 | - | 33 (6) | 45 (5) | 32 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballinb 2y 14 | - | - | 51 | - | 36 (6) | 26 (6) | 26 (6) | 44 (4) | 32 (5) | 37 (6) | 48 (4) | 45 (5) | 41 (3) | 46 (6) | - | - | - | - | 36 | 32 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Midian Pearld 2y 14 | - | - | 52 | - | 42 (5) | 41 (5) | 55 (2) | 57 (2) | 44 (3) | 32 (5) | - | - | - | - | 17 | 25 | 16 | 19 | 45 | 39 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Kilbarry Stepupd 1y 4 | - | - | 63 | - | 47 (5) | 33 (5) | 53 (2) | 38 (5) | 46 (3) | 46 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | 19 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 46 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Castleterry Maxd 1y 11 | - | - | 13 | - | 32 (6) | 26 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | 29 | 12 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
Drawn in trap 1, one of the two dominant boxes at this grade and distance at Curraheen Park. Has a win on record — first at A7 grade in April with a performance rating of 65, the highest peak in this field. Recent form has dipped with performances of 47 and 29 at A7, suggesting a dog that has been finding things tough at a higher level. The drop to A8 should relieve some pressure, and the speed rating of 62 is the highest in this field. The combination of the best draw position, highest speed rating, and a proven win at A7 makes this the most credible selection. The quality gap over A8 opponents and the class drop argue strongly for a competitive run.
Danger — joint best draw, consistent A7 525m form with a peak of 57 when placed second. Main danger to the selection.
Form below the level required and average draw. No case to favour over the selection or main danger.
Switches from sprint distance to standard trip with no 525m form evidence. Unknown quantity at this distance.
Best raw numbers but worst structural draw at this grade and trip. The trap penalty at 6.25% win rate is too large for even the top-rated dog to overcome without a clear edge over the field.
Poor form and weak draw. No basis to support in this field.
A7 525m used as proxy for A8 (only 17 A8 runs). Trap 1 and trap 4 dominate at 25.81% and 26.67% respectively. Trap 5 is catastrophic at 6.25% from 32 runs. Composite rank 1 wins 33.33% at A7 — strong signal when in good trap position.
T1:25.81% T2:16.67% T3:13.33% T4:26.67% T5:6.25% T6:9.68%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 300m | 325m | 330m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gleaming Matty | — | — | — | 0.577 |
| 2 | Shebeen Oulsport | — | — | — | 0.585 |
| 3 | Ballin | 0.583 | 0.590 | 0.574 | — |
| 4 | Midian Pearl | — | — | — | 0.576 |
| 5 | Kilbarry Stepup | — | — | — | 0.575 |
| 6 | Castleterry Max | — | — | — | 0.592 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.