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The Curraheen Park Supporters Club 525 Semi-Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Polly Poppinsb 1y 3 | - | - | 55 | - | 55 (4) | 62 (4) | 36 (6) | 50 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 | 5 | - | - | 52 | 44 | 1 | 5/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Edencurra Liond 1y 13 | - | - | 31 | - | 38 (5) | 48 (3) | 45 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 43 | 28 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Dark Bonnieb 2y 5 | - | - | 52 | - | 63 (3) | 37 (6) | 55 (3) | 50 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 52 | 41 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Rosstemple Vivod 1y 3 | - | - | 52 | - | 76 (1) | 36 (5) | 53 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | 30 | 30 | 56 | 47 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Churchfield Codyd 1y 5 | - | - | 40 | - | 57 (2) | 50 (5) | 49 (5) | 23 (6) | 62 (1) | 47 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | 16 | 49 | 36 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Sudoky Disaronnob 1y 4 | - | - | 56 | - | 58 (4) | 61 (2) | 45 (2) | 52 (3) | 55 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | - | 14 | 55 | 46 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
A reliable and consistent performer at A5 and A6 grade — five runs showing performances of 58, 61, 45, 52, and 55. Placed second at A6 two runs ago. The form is honest and competitive at this level. Trap 6 at A5 grade wins 19.3% — a decent draw, the third-best box at this distance and grade. There is a genuine case for this runner: current A5 form, consistent, and from a reasonable draw. The reason for sitting behind the selection and the main danger is purely the form comparison — Rosstemple Vivo's recent win at P76 is ahead of anything this runner can point to.
Danger — best structural draw and dropping from A4 with competitive recent form at 55-62. Main threat to Rosstemple Vivo.
Worst structural draw combined with the lowest speed rating in the field. No positive case to make here.
Joint best draw but a persistent pattern of finishing last or second-to-last at A3/A4 despite competitive performance ratings. The form pattern raises questions about ability to compete at the sharp end.
Recent A5 win at a performance of 76 is the strongest form evidence in this race. Below-average draw is the key risk, but form quality overrides the draw penalty here. Medium confidence — the win is compelling but inconsistency and draw create uncertainty.
Stepping up in grade with weak structural draw. Inconsistent form and poor trap position make it difficult to support.
At A5 525m Curraheen Park, traps 1 and 3 dominate at 23.21% from 56 runs each. Trap 5 and 2 are structural dead draws (under 11%). Composite rank 1 wins only 19.7% ��� below baseline, meaning form evidence outweighs model scores. Rosstemple Vivo's recent A5 win is the key differentiator.
T1:23.21% T2:8.93% T3:23.21% T4:14.29% T5:10.34% T6:19.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.