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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Socrates Smiledb 1y 5 | M Mavrias — 15% R286 W44 P138 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 52 | 45 (5) | 75 (1) | 49 (4) | 71 (1) | 59 (2) | 52 (3) | 71 (1) | 53 (3) | 73 (1) | 57 (2) | 40 | 48 | - | 47 | 59 | 50 | 2 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Beach Bard 3y 6 | T M Levers — 16% R109 W17 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 36 | 58 (3) | 62 (3) | 60 (3) | 57 (3) | 59 (4) | 67 (3) | 70 (2) | 66 (3) | 76 (2) | 72 (2) | 36 | 29 | - | 15 | 62 | 53 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Ellab 3y 8 | D P Brabon — 19% R351 W67 P210 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 59 | 64 (2) | 69 (2) | 75 (2) | 54 (1) | 50 (2) | 45 (4) | 43 (4) | 77 (6) | 46 (1) | - | 58 | 52 | 71 | 54 | 60 | 57 | 1 | 4/5F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Windsor Timesd 2y 25 | N F Carter — 19% R263 W49 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 53 | 45 (6) | 74 (1) | 52 (4) | 49 (5) | 32 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 18 | 27 | - | 18 | 55 | 39 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Beach Husslerd 3y 4 | T M Levers — 16% R109 W17 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 74 (1) | 57 (3) | 44 (6) | 57 (4) | 57 (3) | 61 (3) | 57 (4) | 62 (2) | 64 (3) | 58 (2) | 16 | 12 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 46 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ King Kushnerd 4y 17 | D P Brabon — 19% R351 W67 P210 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 42 | 73 (1) | 55 (5) | 60 (2) | 74 (1) | 40 (4) | 74 (1) | 64 (3) | 59 (3) | 60 (2) | 55 (4) | 35 | 22 | - | 43 | 62 | 51 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
The highest-rated dog in the field and she's improving with every run — form reads 64, 69, 75 over her last three starts, the most eye-catching trajectory in the race. That 75 three runs ago at this grade is comfortably the best recent run by any dog in this field. She's a Fader with good early pace and the second-best first-bend rating, which means she'll be prominent through the crucial first turn. Two wins and six places from ten course and distance starts is a 60% place rate — she's almost always in the mix here. Her suitability scores are the highest across all four dimensions, confirming she's well suited to this exact race. Trainer Brabon's 8% strike rate is modest, but the dog's form speaks for itself. Drawn in trap 3 at 17.8% which isn't ideal, but her quality advantage and improving form outweigh the moderate draw.
DANGER: Best trap draw, excellent course and distance record (30% win rate), Closer with outstanding closing speed, and won last time. If the Fader fades, he's the one to pounce. The main threat to the pick.
Best course and distance win record in the field (40%) but too volatile to trust as the selection. Could run 75 or could run 45 — impossible to predict which Socrates turns up.
Fastest in the field and a Closer with perfect closing speed, but ten course and distance starts without a win is damning. Worst first-bend rating means he's always playing catch-up. Place claims only.
Flashed 74 two runs ago but finished last time. Drawn in the worst trap. Talented but too inconsistent and poorly drawn to trust.
Won last at A4 and steps up, which is a positive sign. But the grade rise and ten course and distance starts with just one win suggest this is a dog who competes without dominating. Place claims.
T6 dominates at 22.8% from 180 runs. Composite R1 (20.1%) and R2 (20.5%) virtually identical — the top-rated and second-rated dogs are equally likely to win. Speed R1 23.7%.
T1:18.4% T2:16.9% T3:17.8% T4:15.6% T5:17.1% T6:22.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Socrates Smiled | 52 | 33 | All-Rounder |
2Beach Bar | 41 | 100 | Closer |
3Swift Ella | 57 | 17 | Fader |
4Windsor Times | 54 | 27 | All-Rounder |
5Beach Hussler | 48 | 67 | Closer |
6King Kushner | 42 | 89 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Socrates Smiled | — | 0.614 |
| 2 | Beach Bar | — | 0.608 |
| 3 | Swift Ella | — | 0.614 |
| 4 | Windsor Times | 0.611 | 0.614 |
| 5 | Beach Hussler | — | 0.616 |
| 6 | King Kushner | — | 0.615 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.